Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Bruno Fernandez vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a584c34fd7cbc5816dcd20f5008643071abaff10641bcb9f2d39e0203179b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fernandezof Fernandez, Olivieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olivieri | 41c | 8,083$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.34 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fernandez | 62c | 7,228$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Olivieri | 57c | 2,261$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.37 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fernandez | 58c | 1,135$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Fernandez | 53c | 950$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Olivieri | 52c | 906.46$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.42 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Fernandez | 32c | 900$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Olivieri | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Olivieri | 64c | 701.56$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.51 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Fernandez | 22c | 700$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Olivieri | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Fernandez | 17c | 590.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.71 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Fernandez | 27c | 555.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.4 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Fernandez | 42c | 540.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.07 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fernandez | 55c | 495$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Fernandez | 66c | 453.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Fernandez | 38c | 397.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Olivieri | 30c | 357$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Fernandez | 53c | 351$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fernandez | 57c | 346.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Olivieri | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Olivieri | 41c | 333$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fernandez | 45c | 291.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Fernandez | 44c | 290.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fernandez | 55c | 287.05$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Fernandez | 53c | 283.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Olivieri | 65c | 278.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Fernandez | 45c | 256.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Olivieri | 20c | 233.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Olivieri | 54c | 233.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Fernandez | 53c | 232.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…c586backed Fernandez | 26c | 193.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Fernandez | 47c | 168.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Olivieri | 34c | 165$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Fernandez | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fernandez | 44c | 149.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fernandez | 70c | 143.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Olivieri | 47c | 132.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Olivieri | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fernandez | 31c | 119.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Olivieri | 58c | 112.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Olivieri | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Olivieri | 42c | 84.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Fernandez | 56c | 79.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 796 | 53%422 W · 374 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Olivieri | 46c | 78.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fernandez | 26c | 76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Fernandez | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Olivieri | 59c | 68.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Olivieri | 48c | 64.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Fernandez | 39c | 61.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Olivieri | 51c | 58.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Fernandez | 78c | 50.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Olivieri | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Olivieri | 54c | 47.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Olivieri | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Olivieri | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fernandez | 58c | 29.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fernandez | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Olivieri | 70c | 26.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Fernandez | 63c | 26.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…8d93backed Fernandez | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…5ed6backed Fernandez | 57c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Fernandez | 49c | 20.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fernandez | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Olivieri | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Fernandez | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.