Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76759402d57b5448372cc1cfb75a7aa6357b366288d75911de037d4e9f4bea0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3478…d770backed Yes | 57c | 387.4$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 33c | 352.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…3d76backed No | 37c | 244.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 23c | 209.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 179.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 30c | 148.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…556cbacked Yes | 58c | 138.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 131.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 130.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 130$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1032backed No | 57c | 120.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 30c | 109.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 58c | 100.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 64c | 100.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 40c | 91.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 82.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 63c | 79.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 46c | 75.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 54c | 74.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 40c | 72.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed Yes | 42c | 72.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 43c | 71.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…75f3backed Yes | 66c | 69.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 221 | 71%157 W · 64 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 69.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 33c | 67.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 28c | 65.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 76c | 65.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 80c | 62.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 67c | 57.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 36c | 55.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 46c | 52.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 22c | 50.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 49.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed Yes | 71c | 46.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…9d17backed Yes | 68c | 43.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…0511backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 38c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 40.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 77c | 38.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 53c | 37.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 73c | 35.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 137 | 65.7%90 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 70c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4e…d15dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 52c | 31.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 38c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…e048backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…3661backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…5dc0backed Yes | 39c | 28.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 49c | 28.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…dbffbacked Yes | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 41c | 27.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 65c | 25.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 46c | 22.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 60c | 21.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…af97backed Yes | 70c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 71c | 21.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…58babacked Yes | 49c | 20.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…86c6backed Yes | 61c | 20.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ee…983cbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…5cf7backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 208 | 52.4%109 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…c45abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 53c | 19.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…54c9backed No | 67c | 17.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…37eebacked No | 64c | 17.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38aa…53a6backed Yes | 61c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.