Tennis · resolved market
Trieste: Andrea Pellegrino vs Max Alcala Gurri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b752f379b203ebdf75ea9ca6504cb738ba42c0dc4356f8d61b7f3455dc01ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Pellegrinoof Andrea Pellegrino, Max Alcala Gurri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Max Alcala Gurri | 4c | 3,242$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Pellegrino | 77c | 3,195$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.9 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 56c | 2,096$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.73 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 25c | 1,930$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.48 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 43c | 1,548$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.79 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Andrea Pellegrino | 79c | 1,404$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.41 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Max Alcala Gurri | 49c | 1,260$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.37 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Max Alcala Gurri | 21c | 1,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 79c | 869.59$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Andrea Pellegrino | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrea Pellegrino | 75c | 797.93$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 68c | 735.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 931 | 68.1%634 W · 297 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 31c | 712.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Max Alcala Gurri | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Max Alcala Gurri | 5c | 599.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 28c | 415.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 24c | 367.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 76c | 359.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 74c | 334.49$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 30c | 328.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Alcala Gurri | 27c | 301.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Max Alcala Gurri | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Max Alcala Gurri | 20c | 293.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Max Alcala Gurri | 42c | 289.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Andrea Pellegrino | 56c | 257.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 843 | 49.8%420 W · 423 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Andrea Pellegrino | 76c | 215.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Andrea Pellegrino | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Max Alcala Gurri | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 503 | 41.9%211 W · 292 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Andrea Pellegrino | 78c | 190$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 1,764 | 46.8%826 W · 938 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Alcala Gurri | 26c | 189.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Max Alcala Gurri | 25c | 175.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Andrea Pellegrino | 60c | 167.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 508 | 52.2%265 W · 243 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 43c | 149.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 72c | 149.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 388 | 54.1%210 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Andrea Pellegrino | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 29c | 129.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 68c | 108.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Andrea Pellegrino | 58c | 104.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 45c | 104.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Max Alcala Gurri | 24c | 102.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,079 | 56.3%608 W · 471 L | +50.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Andrea Pellegrino | 51c | 100.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Max Alcala Gurri | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 43c | 98.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Max Alcala Gurri | 24c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Andrea Pellegrino | 51c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Max Alcala Gurri | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 1,474 | 35.1%518 W · 956 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Andrea Pellegrino | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Andrea Pellegrino | 53c | 84.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Andrea Pellegrino | 74c | 79.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Alcala Gurri | 19c | 78.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Andrea Pellegrino | 65c | 77.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Max Alcala Gurri | 34c | 71.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Andrea Pellegrino | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 35c | 62.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Andrea Pellegrino | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Max Alcala Gurri | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,235 | 44.9%554 W · 681 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Andrea Pellegrino | 77c | 45.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 76c | 39.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Max Alcala Gurri | 47c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 896 | 59.6%534 W · 362 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Andrea Pellegrino | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Max Alcala Gurri | 44c | 32.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Andrea Pellegrino | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Andrea Pellegrino | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Andrea Pellegrino | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Andrea Pellegrino | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Andrea Pellegrino | 60c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.