WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783eab7e3db34869334dc4da85bbb55fbbb4e6889126bf178127c9429bb3eb0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 2,707$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.69 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 2,661$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.5 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 53c | 2,642$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,995$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.35 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 47c | 391.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 34c | 322.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 139.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 52c | 135.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 51c | 105.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…eebfbacked Over | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 41.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Under | 50c | 29.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 59c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6aa5backed Over | 59c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 51c | 24.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Over | 58c | 23.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Over | 58c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 55c | 21.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5this page
- Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.