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WNBA · resolved market

PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over54c19,240$10,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,905.1310749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c12,819$6,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,614.441,82051.7%941 W · 879 L+54.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c8,430$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,636.752652.7%277 W · 249 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38010743.9%47 W · 60 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under49c2,867$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.5852247.5%248 W · 274 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,230$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.688548.2%427 W · 458 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c1,985$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.9542051.2%215 W · 205 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c1,943$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.6848646.9%228 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c1,421$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.6640850%204 W · 204 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over46c1,276$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.8215654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46020447.1%96 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c952.04$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9357854.8%317 W · 261 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Under22c799.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9911527.8%32 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under3c658$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0118957.7%109 W · 80 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Over52c575.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0814948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under46c543$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7815746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under52c539.64$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1320841.3%86 W · 122 L-16.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c492.35$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.580948.6%393 W · 416 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.513249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over52c386.35$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.459354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under32c381.16$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.018836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under4c377.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7335326.1%92 W · 261 L-22.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under47c361.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.837338.4%28 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under57c334.93$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7130447.4%144 W · 160 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over47c265.42$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.912359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over47c262$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.869460.6%57 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c256$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3295448.1%459 W · 495 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under49c253.85$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7967951.1%347 W · 332 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under47c232.89$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4614545.5%66 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over47c217$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.117360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under54c215.7$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9114351%73 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c188.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0126247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over58c183$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5537251.1%190 W · 182 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under47c182$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.422446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825062%31 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c176.58$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5213350.4%67 W · 66 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under46c163$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4830734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.626350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c120.12$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.031,63550.2%820 W · 815 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c116.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6578342.3%331 W · 452 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c115.19$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8540045.5%182 W · 218 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over63c113.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6112355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over70c113.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9541841.1%172 W · 246 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over47c111.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.987470.3%52 W · 22 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over43c103.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9718746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4640247.3%190 W · 212 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over53c93.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c92.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1834249.7%170 W · 172 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over56c91.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.044452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under35c81.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7235118.5%65 W · 286 L-49.3wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-57.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under48c74.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.733050%165 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under43c72.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315052%26 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over64c72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9837653.7%202 W · 174 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.393470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c50.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6535147.9%168 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7134048.2%164 W · 176 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under49c48.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3433250%166 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over45c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3611351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c47.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1736440.4%147 W · 217 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under44c44.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.647055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under53c44.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.519245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under31c43.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.415453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under48c42.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.369430.9%29 W · 65 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over76c41.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9320156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f7…680bbacked Under48c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0617…08d9backed Under39c39.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.181020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb323…e253backed Over62c39.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.882157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d6…7192backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c36.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3421350.2%107 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Under57c36.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.882642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9125657%146 W · 110 L+16.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under30c33.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.342157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under54c30.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0614851.4%76 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under48c30.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2519744.7%88 W · 109 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4d…2008backed Under48c29.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.151050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over63c29.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.742147%198 W · 223 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over61c28.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.227431.1%23 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Over68c27.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7317550.9%89 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Over77c25.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62075%15 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125147.8%120 W · 131 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf8…5d40backed Over47c23.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Over48c22.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0432250%161 W · 161 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed Over80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.