Tennis · resolved market
Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7883b8a6536ba0e8e0e6bc23dad789b0b12aa94e7d2ced3986c7e3b34121cfcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sumit Nagalof Inaki Montes, Sumit Nagal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Sumit Nagal | 50c | 6,437$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.96 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Inaki Montes | 6c | 5,147$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.19 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Inaki Montes | 45c | 4,544$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.15 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Inaki Montes | 27c | 2,729$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sumit Nagal | 78c | 2,191$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.42 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Inaki Montes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…4443backed Inaki Montes | 5c | 1,740$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Inaki Montes | 21c | 1,588$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.45 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sumit Nagal | 79c | 1,239$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.18 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sumit Nagal | 55c | 699.73$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sumit Nagal | 52c | 648.41$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.75 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sumit Nagal | 47c | 616.11$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.95 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Inaki Montes | 3c | 607.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Inaki Montes | 8c | 599.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Inaki Montes | 34c | 576$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Inaki Montes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Inaki Montes | 8c | 462$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Inaki Montes | 53c | 439.64$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Sumit Nagal | 48c | 406.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.72 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Inaki Montes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Inaki Montes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Sumit Nagal | 67c | 324.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Inaki Montes | 21c | 314.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Inaki Montes | 52c | 307.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Sumit Nagal | 64c | 260.42$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Sumit Nagal | 47c | 234.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Inaki Montes | 11c | 203.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Inaki Montes | 6c | 192.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Inaki Montes | 17c | 162.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Inaki Montes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Inaki Montes | 44c | 142.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sumit Nagal | 71c | 132.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Sumit Nagal | 78c | 129.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Inaki Montes | 29c | 127.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sumit Nagal | 76c | 123.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Inaki Montes | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Inaki Montes | 52c | 115.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Sumit Nagal | 74c | 111.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Inaki Montes | 48c | 108.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Sumit Nagal | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Inaki Montes | 45c | 89.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Inaki Montes | 36c | 88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Inaki Montes | 33c | 85.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inaki Montes | 50c | 80.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Inaki Montes | 49c | 77.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sumit Nagal | 58c | 70.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sumit Nagal | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Inaki Montes | 39c | 63.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Inaki Montes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Sumit Nagal | 75c | 56.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Inaki Montes | 23c | 51.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Sumit Nagal | 47c | 46.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Sumit Nagal | 57c | 46.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Inaki Montes | 30c | 44.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Inaki Montes | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sumit Nagal | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Inaki Montes | 50c | 41.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Inaki Montes | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Inaki Montes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…aa27backed Sumit Nagal | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inaki Montes | 43c | 36.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Sumit Nagal | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Sumit Nagal | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Inaki Montes | 51c | 32.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Sumit Nagal | 47c | 32.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Inaki Montes | 45c | 25.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Sumit Nagal | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Sumit Nagal | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Sumit Nagal | 73c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | -37.3wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 22-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Inaki Montes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…6857backed Inaki Montes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Sumit Nagal | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe099…fc66backed Sumit Nagal | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.