TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Storm Hunter

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Antonia Ruzicof Antonia Ruzic, Storm Hunter
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Storm Hunter37c15,089$5,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,523.3893740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Antonia Ruzic61c12,598$7,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,929.828,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Storm Hunter31c6,142$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.038,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Antonia Ruzic57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2904158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Antonia Ruzic77c2,223$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.6324961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Antonia Ruzic51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.0539438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Storm Hunter50c1,412$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.419,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Storm Hunter6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.952,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd85b…a848backed Storm Hunter55c940.93$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.49151.6%47 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Antonia Ruzic63c914.15$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.334,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Antonia Ruzic55c796$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.24,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e1…77acbacked Antonia Ruzic79c759.7$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Antonia Ruzic67c745.51$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Antonia Ruzic66c684.03$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0325556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Storm Hunter36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Storm Hunter49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Storm Hunter55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Antonia Ruzic47c440.26$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8650442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Storm Hunter46c435.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Storm Hunter14c419.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7642125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Storm Hunter45c413.65$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9337421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…c2fabacked Antonia Ruzic46c413.48$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Antonia Ruzic51c407.25$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5571725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Antonia Ruzic43c392.8$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0524245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Storm Hunter36c389.85$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.541,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Antonia Ruzic56c376.79$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7912369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Storm Hunter31c371.28$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.645,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Antonia Ruzic79c322$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Antonia Ruzic72c299.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8436661.7%226 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Storm Hunter52c298.43$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.834,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Antonia Ruzic55c273.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.678,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Antonia Ruzic53c260.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.249150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Storm Hunter27c247.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9496035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Antonia Ruzic56c246$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2456744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Antonia Ruzic48c227.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Antonia Ruzic61c212.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.731,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Storm Hunter39c209.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Storm Hunter50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Antonia Ruzic60c199.49$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4915046%69 W · 81 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65eb…2c83backed Antonia Ruzic51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Storm Hunter50c189.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.681,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Antonia Ruzic77c179.04$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1822154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6075…2f82backed Storm Hunter58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013944.6%62 W · 77 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Storm Hunter37c172.39$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.783,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Antonia Ruzic40c166.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.525,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Antonia Ruzic52c163.21$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3435730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Antonia Ruzic63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4224…31fbbacked Antonia Ruzic77c154.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5222138.9%86 W · 135 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Storm Hunter11c142.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543336.7%159 W · 274 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Antonia Ruzic60c141.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.421,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Antonia Ruzic72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe37…911dbacked Antonia Ruzic80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2632675.2%245 W · 81 L+20.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Antonia Ruzic56c119.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.216,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Storm Hunter24c110.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.173208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Storm Hunter48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030755%169 W · 138 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Antonia Ruzic49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Antonia Ruzic73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Antonia Ruzic50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Storm Hunter50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Antonia Ruzic68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3211745.3%53 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Antonia Ruzic51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0430749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Storm Hunter28c95.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8991755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Antonia Ruzic60c86.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.545034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Storm Hunter44c84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.181,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Antonia Ruzic70c81.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.531,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Storm Hunter24c81.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4536040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…d475backed Antonia Ruzic76c81.03$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.452268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Storm Hunter32c80.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.616,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Storm Hunter45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Storm Hunter40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Antonia Ruzic63c68.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.421,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Antonia Ruzic53c67.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.871,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Antonia Ruzic57c65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.951,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Storm Hunter30c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6814829.1%43 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Storm Hunter30c61.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2385742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Antonia Ruzic63c60.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1368857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Antonia Ruzic59c57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5411462.3%71 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…5011backed Antonia Ruzic48c56.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.444245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Storm Hunter27c52.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3458539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…5911backed Storm Hunter24c49.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.952835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Storm Hunter42c48.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Antonia Ruzic62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3943358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Storm Hunter46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Storm Hunter50c39.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9813243.9%58 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Antonia Ruzic56c39.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4789663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked Antonia Ruzic51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Antonia Ruzic59c37.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4326047.3%123 W · 137 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Antonia Ruzic58c26.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2714278.2%111 W · 31 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e05…c111backed Antonia Ruzic65c26.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Antonia Ruzic56c24.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8922876.8%175 W · 53 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Antonia Ruzic80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.839154.2%212 W · 179 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Antonia Ruzic57c23.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1239161.4%240 W · 151 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e2…c81fbacked Antonia Ruzic64c23.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.548762.1%54 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a92…716abacked Antonia Ruzic60c23.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.384037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Antonia Ruzic54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.564,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde69…39c8backed Antonia Ruzic66c22.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.629100%9 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bce…c696backed Antonia Ruzic71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1918072.8%131 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab9…c35abacked Antonia Ruzic54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfca4…e183backed Antonia Ruzic50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013040%52 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Antonia Ruzic59c17.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1831657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.