CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Overtake vs NuTorious - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a506960f5c672aca95830677fcc300d1c3904b503cbb85457f352c5a84ab98d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NuToriousof Overtake, NuTorious
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked NuTorious | 47c | 1,337$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.32 | 1,054 | 52.6%554 W · 500 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Overtake | 5c | 1,230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Overtake | 49c | 1,141$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.45 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed NuTorious | 55c | 894.08$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.28 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Overtake | 48c | 590.3$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked NuTorious | 52c | 442.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Overtake | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Overtake | 57c | 361.8$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.23 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…426ebacked Overtake | 65c | 285.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked NuTorious | 52c | 270.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed NuTorious | 38c | 238.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed NuTorious | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Overtake | 53c | 217.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Overtake | 46c | 215.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked NuTorious | 50c | 201.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 324 | 53.7%174 W · 150 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Overtake | 38c | 193.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NuTorious | 54c | 188.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed NuTorious | 53c | 143.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 161 | 41%66 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked NuTorious | 55c | 113.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed NuTorious | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Overtake | 44c | 98.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked NuTorious | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NuTorious | 47c | 93.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Overtake | 64c | 89.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Overtake | 64c | 89.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NuTorious | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked NuTorious | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Overtake | 51c | 77.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 287 | 49.1%141 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Overtake | 31c | 74.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Overtake | 34c | 73.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NuTorious | 41c | 73.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Overtake | 34c | 72.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…1e98backed NuTorious | 46c | 65.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NuTorious | 46c | 59.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked NuTorious | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Overtake | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Overtake | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed NuTorious | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed NuTorious | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked NuTorious | 47c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Overtake | 25c | 46.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,685 | 32.7%551 W · 1,134 L | -48.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NuTorious | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 2,829 | 37.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L | -138.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed NuTorious | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed NuTorious | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed NuTorious | 64c | 39.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 74 | 83.8%62 W · 12 L | +12.5wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Overtake | 60c | 36.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…1fa3backed Overtake | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Overtake | 35c | 34.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Overtake | 67c | 32.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…093dbacked Overtake | 65c | 30.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Overtake | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked NuTorious | 43c | 27.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +15.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Overtake | 53c | 18.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 694 | 47.1%327 W · 367 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Overtake vs NuTorious - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Overtake vs NuTorious (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 PlayoffsOvertake won
- Counter-Strike: Overtake vs NuTorious - Map 1 WinnerOvertake won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.