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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Overtake vs NuTorious (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overtakeof Overtake, NuTorious
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e9f…0eaebacked Overtake53c9,100$4,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked NuTorious47c6,778$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.6620051%102 W · 98 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked NuTorious47c4,652$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.665446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked NuTorious26c3,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.54332.6%14 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Overtake65c3,199$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.4250564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed NuTorious46c2,977$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.586758.1%504 W · 363 L+59.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Overtake54c2,338$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.061,71053.2%909 W · 801 L+65.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NuTorious47c1,985$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.122,69752.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L+30.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked NuTorious49c1,240$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.41,05452.6%554 W · 500 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Overtake53c1,200$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9812659.5%75 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Overtake55c1,073$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.283063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Overtake52c901.43$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.6918448.4%89 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Overtake52c883.47$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.859039.3%232 W · 358 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Overtake51c852.58$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.93,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Overtake80c809.55$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.895056%28 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Overtake53c697.08$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.945648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Overtake52c604$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2214545.5%66 W · 79 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Overtake52c599.94$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9761448.4%297 W · 317 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Overtake78c586.66$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.522,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5f…555ebacked Overtake52c580.5$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Overtake78c556.45$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.192,60841.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L-123.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Overtake38c530.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.222744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Overtake61c509.1$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.4451756.3%291 W · 226 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ab…021ebacked Overtake80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Overtake54c469$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7422353.8%120 W · 103 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Overtake53c442$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.744562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked NuTorious48c407.28$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4951942.2%219 W · 300 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Overtake52c386.47$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.752952.7%279 W · 250 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Overtake53c368.68$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2836744.4%163 W · 204 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked NuTorious49c354.15$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.494156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadeb…5850backed NuTorious32c338.19$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.615954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed NuTorious47c338.15$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9366554.1%360 W · 305 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282c…dd8ebacked Overtake78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.511163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked Overtake51c319$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.318248.8%40 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Overtake75c317.08$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.022,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked NuTorious45c312.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4326355.1%145 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed NuTorious25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755633.9%19 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NuTorious38c282.97$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.811,62929.8%485 W · 1,144 L-90.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked NuTorious59c260.44$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Overtake50c250.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…2ad3backed Overtake74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652070%14 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae6…426ebacked Overtake50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked NuTorious30c222.85$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6619346.6%90 W · 103 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Overtake72c222$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221,98442.2%838 W · 1,146 L-74.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked NuTorious40c220.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0443150.3%217 W · 214 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd22…bb29backed NuTorious49c217.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.521450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed NuTorious20c216.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2627344.3%121 W · 152 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd3…b668backed NuTorious23c214.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.111040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed NuTorious47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042555.3%235 W · 190 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed NuTorious21c209.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516829.2%49 W · 119 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked NuTorious47c207$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.865862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed Overtake53c203.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.778445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed NuTorious47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Overtake64c199.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.591,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NuTorious33c199.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.94,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x921d…ea14backed NuTorious26c193.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked NuTorious20c192.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4631538.7%122 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Overtake54c188.37$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9335751%182 W · 175 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Overtake50c184$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9240245.3%182 W · 220 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Overtake67c180.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4216838.7%65 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Overtake74c177.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6820562.9%129 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked NuTorious31c175$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7980534%274 W · 531 L-51.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed Overtake70c166.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.878667.4%58 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed Overtake51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.53554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed NuTorious63c159.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007459.5%44 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Overtake64c157.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.393645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed NuTorious48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x797b…26d2backed Overtake80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302075%15 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked NuTorious47c149.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.512059.2%71 W · 49 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Overtake73c145.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.837549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed Overtake54c143.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9723952.7%126 W · 113 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f35…d812backed Overtake75c140.35$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Overtake68c137.47$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1881045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked NuTorious49c132.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1531548.6%153 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed NuTorious48c129.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211237.5%42 W · 70 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Overtake61c123.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4260345.8%276 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked NuTorious47c123$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.818160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Overtake50c120.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.512257.4%70 W · 52 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Overtake75c112.06$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.515,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Overtake53c112$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.646750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0607…b344backed NuTorious49c108.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.265664.3%36 W · 20 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa8…093dbacked Overtake77c103.26$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.184862.5%30 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed NuTorious22c103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.639935.4%35 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Overtake51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4918044.4%80 W · 100 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed NuTorious50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037856.9%215 W · 163 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cd…f418backed NuTorious46c99.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c0…f498backed Overtake78c98.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed NuTorious39c96.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.685051.8%440 W · 410 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Overtake48c96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1131247.8%149 W · 163 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Overtake53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Overtake63c93.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.222,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Overtake54c92.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.786036.7%22 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb7…e9dbbacked Overtake53c92.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.453339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe650…0944backed NuTorious47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.954553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Overtake74c83.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.083868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked NuTorious48c83.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032453.7%174 W · 150 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5217…c89abacked NuTorious47c78.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.043759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1431…94d0backed NuTorious33c75.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257650%38 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed NuTorious49c74.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3871449.3%352 W · 362 L-2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed NuTorious47c73.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.488253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.