Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Noritaka Koizumi vs Yuta Kawahashi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bef9451614624525076c13cdccc73c0cfad0a0c9378e6fa4b8cd447b4cd8c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noritaka Koizumiof Noritaka Koizumi, Yuta Kawahashi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 2c | 9,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +161%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Yuta Kawahashi | 2c | 3,637$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Yuta Kawahashi | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Noritaka Koizumi | 49c | 851.34$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 65c | 768.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Yuta Kawahashi | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Noritaka Koizumi | 80c | 698.41$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yuta Kawahashi | 22c | 689.41$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Noritaka Koizumi | 78c | 633.59$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Noritaka Koizumi | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Noritaka Koizumi | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Yuta Kawahashi | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 56c | 253.86$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuta Kawahashi | 52c | 179.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yuta Kawahashi | 62c | 178.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Noritaka Koizumi | 39c | 175$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Noritaka Koizumi | 38c | 156.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Noritaka Koizumi | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Noritaka Koizumi | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Noritaka Koizumi | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Noritaka Koizumi | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Noritaka Koizumi | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Noritaka Koizumi | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Noritaka Koizumi | 34c | 75.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Yuta Kawahashi | 56c | 75.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 54c | 71.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yuta Kawahashi | 63c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Noritaka Koizumi | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Noritaka Koizumi | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Noritaka Koizumi | 32c | 43.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 65c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yuta Kawahashi | 65c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 67c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yuta Kawahashi | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Noritaka Koizumi | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yuta Kawahashi | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Noritaka Koizumi | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yuta Kawahashi | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Yuta Kawahashi | 62c | 18.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.