TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendasof 7REX, KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas78c3,505$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.0927753.1%147 W · 130 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed 7REX2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40385.3%2 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed 7REX7c1,150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.556610.4%59 W · 507 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas71c1,135$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4261154.7%334 W · 277 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked 7REX45c1,078$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.0917045.9%78 W · 92 L+16.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked 7REX22c1,058$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7317452.3%91 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed 7REX29c1,033$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.414250%71 W · 71 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas68c1,021$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1784360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865c…4079backed 7REX15c884$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.498827.3%24 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked 7REX10c878$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.869259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed 7REX22c818.18$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked 7REX16c768.23$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1648147.2%227 W · 254 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 7REX36c712.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.592,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas54c671.08$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.72,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x797b…26d2backed 7REX30c567.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 7REX21c489.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.021,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…35fcbacked 7REX22c479.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed 7REX28c310$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.827749.1%136 W · 141 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 7REX36c270$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.21,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b7…452fbacked 7REX22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 7REX27c213.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.682,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0271…4099backed 7REX22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 7REX36c177.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9178549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas60c174.5$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.532,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas64c161.88$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5342369.3%293 W · 130 L+34.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas63c157.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0580750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4630…35c7backed 7REX32c139.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514249.3%70 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked 7REX14c112.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.921414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-77.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed 7REX35c111.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7726541.9%111 W · 154 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked 7REX10c101.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.129746.4%45 W · 52 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.931,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas64c89.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.362,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas78c82.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.929354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed 7REX33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541949.9%209 W · 210 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas67c74.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6216760.5%101 W · 66 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 7REX26c72.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.631,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e78…fb29backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas73c68.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5815959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas71c57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2688949.6%441 W · 448 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas68c56.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked 7REX19c53.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3961042.5%259 W · 351 L-52.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas76c50.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.291,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8115…103bbacked 7REX35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas62c48.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3825046%115 W · 135 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas71c46.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4144051.4%226 W · 214 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas76c41.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9923066.1%152 W · 78 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed 7REX31c40.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas59c35.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.371,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc126…4079backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas61c33.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.994346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2742…db2ebacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas63c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4765043.1%280 W · 370 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…b968backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3213671.3%97 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7444355.5%246 W · 197 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas70c23.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.141,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab96…8d69backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas78c21.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa806…d49dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas78c21.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…8b63backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas65c21.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4111958.8%70 W · 49 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.