Lol · resolved market
LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe898bf3bd29bbeb5cb28e86212b497ac1ccfecb174d7fca4bfc6ec1402ef2290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KaBuM! Ilha das Lendasof 7REX, KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc387…5a97backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 49c | 1,603$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.5 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed 7REX | 7c | 1,150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 566 | 10.4%59 W · 507 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked 7REX | 45c | 1,085$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 843 | 60.7%512 W · 331 L | +44.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 63c | 877.16$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.37 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed 7REX | 42c | 600$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…3e22backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…35fcbacked 7REX | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked 7REX | 46c | 439.88$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 7REX | 27c | 427.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 71c | 425.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 7REX | 36c | 402.8$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 7REX | 39c | 337.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 66c | 320$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 270 | 71.1%192 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…d11ebacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 64c | 232.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 73c | 222.4$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 7REX | 9c | 206.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…9eb5backed 7REX | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed 7REX | 31c | 194.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed 7REX | 50c | 186.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed 7REX | 34c | 176.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 707 | 57%403 W · 304 L | +35.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 7REX | 34c | 176$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 7REX | 31c | 172$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 74c | 167.52$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed 7REX | 33c | 151.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 635 | 40.2%255 W · 380 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 56c | 143.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 196 | 56.1%110 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked 7REX | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 963 | 48.7%469 W · 494 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 66c | 120.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…35c7backed 7REX | 43c | 105.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 7REX | 26c | 103.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 59c | 99.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 393 | 42.2%166 W · 227 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 69c | 97.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 692 | 59.7%413 W · 279 L | +75.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked 7REX | 40c | 97.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b21…1f5cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 73c | 89.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…7a22backed 7REX | 40c | 85.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed 7REX | 14c | 85.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 657 | 25.9%170 W · 487 L | -93.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed 7REX | 26c | 80.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 80c | 75.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 167 | 60.5%101 W · 66 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked 7REX | 32c | 69.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…e825backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 78c | 64.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 46c | 58.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked 7REX | 42c | 53.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 655 | 44.1%289 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed 7REX | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 305 | 43.9%134 W · 171 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 7REX | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 74c | 49.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed 7REX | 25c | 49.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed 7REX | 42c | 48.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 250 | 46%115 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 69c | 43.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 679 | 57.9%393 W · 286 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…8b63backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…6264backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 71c | 39.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 177 | 59.3%105 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 63c | 38.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked 7REX | 33c | 38.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 59c | 29.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 483 | 57.1%276 W · 207 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 72c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed 7REX | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 466 | 41.4%193 W · 273 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…2025backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 66c | 23.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,257 | 52.8%664 W · 593 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…6829backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…106cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 75c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
- LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 WinnerKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
- LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 WinnerKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.