TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rome: Sofya Lansere vs Elena Malygina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sofya Lansereof Sofya Lansere, Elena Malygina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sofya Lansere47c56,238$26,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,560.6493140.4%376 W · 555 L-32.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Elena Malygina40c27,560$11,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,010.448,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Elena Malygina45c13,720$6,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,155.0911,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elena Malygina35c7,807$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.056,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Elena Malygina52c5,565$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.794,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Elena Malygina52c5,168$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.612,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Sofya Lansere55c4,866$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.5914654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Sofya Lansere53c4,718$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.951,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Elena Malygina48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c3…f740backed Elena Malygina43c2,279$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.317224.4%42 W · 130 L-16.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Sofya Lansere61c1,625$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.443950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Elena Malygina46c1,539$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.563,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Sofya Lansere68c1,402$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.384,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Elena Malygina25c1,313$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.61,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Elena Malygina41c1,011$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.492,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc217…8701backed Sofya Lansere53c836$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.923060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sofya Lansere74c774.94$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.634,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Elena Malygina51c734.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.822,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Sofya Lansere71c704.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2222062.7%138 W · 82 L+15.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Elena Malygina32c701.41$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.411,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Elena Malygina48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33626546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Elena Malygina47c638.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.995,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Elena Malygina45c537.93$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0739149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Elena Malygina56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Elena Malygina49c475.51$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23344056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Elena Malygina48c449.78$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.652,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Elena Malygina46c423.54$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7536757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elena Malygina44c420.41$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.998,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Elena Malygina6c413.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.811,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Sofya Lansere67c410$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.670252.8%371 W · 331 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Elena Malygina41c404.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.059,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Elena Malygina56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.164,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Sofya Lansere52c399.61$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5179857.6%460 W · 338 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Sofya Lansere77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6111765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Elena Malygina41c389.49$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6252557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofya Lansere76c373.56$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.68,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Elena Malygina54c358.17$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.414,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Elena Malygina20c342.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.761,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a49…d276backed Elena Malygina10c326.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.694440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Elena Malygina50c325.44$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.723,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Sofya Lansere73c318.84$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8139751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Elena Malygina56c303$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.221,21955%670 W · 549 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sofya Lansere39c284.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.532,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Sofya Lansere68c278.82$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Elena Malygina42c272$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9629932.8%98 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff1d…ff0dbacked Elena Malygina22c248.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.54137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-75.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Sofya Lansere66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.652038.5%200 W · 320 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd415…b48ebacked Elena Malygina46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Sofya Lansere52c205.11$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4533152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Elena Malygina42c204.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0329347.4%139 W · 154 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sofya Lansere58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8489263.8%569 W · 323 L+62.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Elena Malygina24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Sofya Lansere62c192.51$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.411,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Elena Malygina52c191.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Elena Malygina63c176.19$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Sofya Lansere71c173.6$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3415456.5%87 W · 67 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Elena Malygina27c172.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.592,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Elena Malygina71c171.38$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.681,23265.4%806 W · 426 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…581bbacked Elena Malygina61c159.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Sofya Lansere63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.563546.1%293 W · 342 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Sofya Lansere48c140.68$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1538141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Sofya Lansere60c127.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1620953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Elena Malygina24c126.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3bbebacked Elena Malygina71c126.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4714357.3%82 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Sofya Lansere53c122.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.644047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…2202backed Sofya Lansere71c121.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.743658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Elena Malygina40c115.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.321,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Elena Malygina53c107.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9921554%116 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Elena Malygina66c105$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.36,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Elena Malygina48c102.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.011,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Elena Malygina50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Elena Malygina48c96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0871139.1%278 W · 433 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Elena Malygina40c93.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4222638.9%88 W · 138 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Elena Malygina47c87.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.22,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Elena Malygina27c80.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.331,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Elena Malygina37c79.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8433256.6%188 W · 144 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Sofya Lansere67c79.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.161,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x408c…2e26backed Elena Malygina20c79.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.941225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Elena Malygina63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078757.1%449 W · 338 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2721…cf8abacked Elena Malygina48c79.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.246746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Elena Malygina52c78.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0278647.3%372 W · 414 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Elena Malygina42c76.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9925237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Elena Malygina42c76.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9943345%195 W · 238 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Elena Malygina68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094149.5%466 W · 475 L+17.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d59…b22cbacked Elena Malygina50c66.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1711650%58 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Elena Malygina48c64.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1920239.6%80 W · 122 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Sofya Lansere78c64.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1135379.3%280 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick78cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Elena Malygina47c61.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71,23544.9%554 W · 681 L-5.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399a…7e09backed Sofya Lansere67c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Elena Malygina52c58.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308444%37 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6e…ab75backed Elena Malygina63c56.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.291931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Elena Malygina27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849c…0d78backed Sofya Lansere62c55.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8610958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Elena Malygina48c52.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.265434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Sofya Lansere80c50.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Elena Malygina47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.551835.1%182 W · 336 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed Elena Malygina52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Elena Malygina48c49.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7648245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d61…ffe8backed Elena Malygina26c46.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Elena Malygina43c46.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.722552%117 W · 108 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.