Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Adrian Mannarino vs Remy Bertola
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7efad50c2dbff67057b9179ee8dc18ec3cc2838d5e3d9cb55d90f5216133eb1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adrian Mannarinoof Adrian Mannarino, Remy Bertola
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Remy Bertola | 13c | 19,542$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Remy Bertola | 30c | 6,018$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.1 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Remy Bertola | 2c | 4,401$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Remy Bertola | 1c | 4,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Remy Bertola | 1c | 2,853$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 2,590$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.49 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Remy Bertola | 2c | 2,376$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Adrian Mannarino | 70c | 1,613$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.34 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Remy Bertola | 19c | 1,496$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.57 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 1,384$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.79 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…b06cbacked Remy Bertola | 4c | 1,344$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Remy Bertola | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Remy Bertola | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Adrian Mannarino | 76c | 813$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…3e9ebacked Remy Bertola | 28c | 707.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Remy Bertola | 27c | 704.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 527.41$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 460.93$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Remy Bertola | 13c | 396.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Remy Bertola | 28c | 388.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Adrian Mannarino | 76c | 345.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Remy Bertola | 28c | 310$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 270.8$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Remy Bertola | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Adrian Mannarino | 69c | 258.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 197$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Remy Bertola | 28c | 193.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…0f1abacked Remy Bertola | 9c | 159.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Remy Bertola | 29c | 156$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Remy Bertola | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Remy Bertola | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Remy Bertola | 28c | 137.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 69c | 131.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Remy Bertola | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 98.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 93.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Remy Bertola | 31c | 90.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Remy Bertola | 28c | 90.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Remy Bertola | 29c | 77.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Remy Bertola | 29c | 64.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Remy Bertola | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Remy Bertola | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Adrian Mannarino | 78c | 57.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 54.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Remy Bertola | 29c | 51.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Remy Bertola | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 68c | 40.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 39.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 32.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 29.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Adrian Mannarino | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Adrian Mannarino | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Adrian Mannarino | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Adrian Mannarino | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 82 | 82.9%68 W · 14 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Adrian Mannarino | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Adrian Mannarino vs Remy Bertolathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mannarino vs BertolaMannarino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.