MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f404b4fa049632414dede9d3440b1288f08b7e753fb5ebeeffc8f007eb70372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof Kia Tigers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked KT Wiz | 8c | 3,141$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.79 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kia Tigers | 75c | 1,764$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.27 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 648.25$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.58 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 535.46$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.9 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 52c | 475.11$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Kia Tigers | 21c | 360$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked KT Wiz | 4c | 338.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 34c | 302.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Kia Tigers | 28c | 280$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Kia Tigers | 34c | 267$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Kia Tigers | 34c | 267$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…36f4backed KT Wiz | 11c | 261.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Kia Tigers | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed KT Wiz | 34c | 231.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kia Tigers | 77c | 230$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.15 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 208.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Kia Tigers | 31c | 180.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Kia Tigers | 35c | 170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Kia Tigers | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked KT Wiz | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed KT Wiz | 28c | 142.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kia Tigers | 30c | 130.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 120.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed KT Wiz | 67c | 115.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kia Tigers | 69c | 114$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked Kia Tigers | 79c | 109.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 107.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kia Tigers | 70c | 104$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 103.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 53c | 93.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kia Tigers | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 76.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 71.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 31c | 69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 60.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…d38abacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed KT Wiz | 27c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 49.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked KT Wiz | 21c | 49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…c3b2backed KT Wiz | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Kia Tigers | 69c | 43.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Kia Tigers | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 51c | 40.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed KT Wiz | 53c | 37.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed KT Wiz | 51c | 34.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…c048backed KT Wiz | 31c | 34.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 33.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -9.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed KT Wiz | 48c | 30.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed KT Wiz | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…5364backed Kia Tigers | 72c | 23.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed KT Wiz | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed KT Wiz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…64cebacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 18.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 72c | 14.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.