Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f78ed5a82db2c6277406ff6c656ad045f6529bb7153c77ee1b0f91688074045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked Yes | 62c | 28,867$17,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,851.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 17,581$9,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990.88 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 6,471$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.36 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 56c | 4,006$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.02 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 3,467$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.38 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 3,070$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.24 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 2,116$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.86 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,024$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.64 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 62c | 1,621$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.26 | 224 | 74.1%166 W · 58 L | +45.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 67c | 1,497$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.77 | 166 | 71.1%118 W · 48 L | +33.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 70c | 1,428$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.34 | 224 | 69.6%156 W · 68 L | +33.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,130$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.95 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 42c | 1,128$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.15 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 14c | 957.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 890.93$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.58 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…5f21backed Yes | 25c | 821.72$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 75c | 808.8$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 666.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 37c | 642.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 612$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.19 | 858 | 47.8%410 W · 448 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Yes | 45c | 550.37$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 465.21$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 65c | 453.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 42c | 420.9$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Yes | 40c | 362.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 24c | 350.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 74c | 285.63$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 253.78$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 54c | 234.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 216$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 841 | 53.6%451 W · 390 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 40c | 186.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 46c | 183.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 392 | 47.7%187 W · 205 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…8ef2backed No | 78c | 176$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 165.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Yes | 8c | 149.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 11c | 142.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e39…aad6backed Yes | 72c | 139.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 12c | 135$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +543.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 19c | 133.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…b9bdbacked Yes | 22c | 124.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 65c | 119.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 34c | 115.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 46c | 99.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 281 | 48.8%137 W · 144 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 78c | 95.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 55c | 85.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…0a1dbacked No | 65c | 83.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 26c | 76.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 26c | 74.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 586 | 45.4%266 W · 320 L | -23.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 66c | 62.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 76c | 61.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 215 | 66%142 W · 73 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Yes | 46c | 60.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816a…5bebbacked Yes | 76c | 55.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 49c | 54.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 41c | 51.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a9…63e6backed Yes | 61c | 49.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 72c | 45.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 54c | 44.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 202 | 60.4%122 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 74c | 41.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 55c | 40.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 40.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 59c | 39.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 67c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Yes | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked No | 64c | 33.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Yes | 43c | 30.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 36c | 28.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 90 | 6.7%6 W · 84 L | -22.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed No | 64c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed No | 58c | 17.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.