MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fb9bf16b55aeeaee19c905908a79ce6e753eb665a15c96217be8511ffb799ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Rays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rays | 48c | 20,251$9,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,718.1 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Red Sox | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 47c | 3,482$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 42c | 2,588$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.57 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…4430backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,813$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 6c | 1,192$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 34c | 1,069$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rays | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 45c | 997.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.36 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 54c | 854.85$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.85 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 64c | 691.01$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Rays | 12c | 620$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Rays | 48c | 616.87$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Rays | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Red Sox | 57c | 517.54$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.54 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Red Sox | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Red Sox | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rays | 47c | 429.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 53c | 423.58$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Rays | 47c | 379$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Red Sox | 54c | 324$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox | 52c | 312.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Rays | 45c | 298.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rays | 42c | 297.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 37c | 271.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rays | 47c | 267.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 250.05$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 40c | 239.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 46c | 217.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 46c | 216.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rays | 46c | 214.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 60c | 209.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Rays | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 54c | 207$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 54c | 205.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Red Sox | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…66c4backed Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 66c | 188.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 37c | 150.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Rays | 43c | 139.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Rays | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Red Sox | 53c | 118$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Red Sox | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Rays | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Red Sox | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 53c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Rays | 46c | 60.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rays | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Red Sox | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Rays | 48c | 51.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rays | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 48c | 48.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rays | 43c | 45.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Rays | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed Red Sox | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4c03backed Red Sox | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Rays | 48c | 37.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 32c | 32.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Rays | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5a…511dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…43f5backed Rays | 48c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…019fbacked Rays | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rays | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked Red Sox | 55c | 25.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…e634backed Red Sox | 56c | 23.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed Red Sox | 52c | 22.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Red Sox | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed Red Sox | 77c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.