Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Trier Men: Maxime Chazal vs Michael Agwi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a47832e0196478474cbe7d7854d1104065726160b63c193166e29b71eb9ebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Agwiof Maxime Chazal, Michael Agwi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maxime Chazal | 37c | 8,410$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…ae4bbacked Michael Agwi | 64c | 7,768$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.72 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michael Agwi | 53c | 1,383$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.11 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Michael Agwi | 56c | 1,221$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.79 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maxime Chazal | 62c | 1,131$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.15 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Michael Agwi | 61c | 966.98$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.66 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Agwi | 51c | 682.73$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Maxime Chazal | 45c | 623.63$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.62 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Michael Agwi | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…867abacked Maxime Chazal | 55c | 494$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Michael Agwi | 56c | 478.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.93 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…ba8bbacked Michael Agwi | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Michael Agwi | 59c | 426.37$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…5f6abacked Michael Agwi | 64c | 359.25$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Michael Agwi | 50c | 356.33$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Michael Agwi | 57c | 353.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michael Agwi | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Michael Agwi | 50c | 226.36$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Michael Agwi | 59c | 217.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Michael Agwi | 56c | 215.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Michael Agwi | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Michael Agwi | 49c | 185.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Michael Agwi | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Michael Agwi | 42c | 129.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maxime Chazal | 10c | 126$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Michael Agwi | 69c | 122.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…2060backed Maxime Chazal | 40c | 121.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Maxime Chazal | 56c | 120.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Michael Agwi | 60c | 118.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Michael Agwi | 54c | 114.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Michael Agwi | 67c | 99.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Michael Agwi | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Michael Agwi | 40c | 83.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Michael Agwi | 70c | 82.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michael Agwi | 52c | 81.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Michael Agwi | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Michael Agwi | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Michael Agwi | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Michael Agwi | 70c | 67.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Maxime Chazal | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Michael Agwi | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Michael Agwi | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Michael Agwi | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Michael Agwi | 38c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Michael Agwi | 38c | 44.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Michael Agwi | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Maxime Chazal | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Michael Agwi | 51c | 34.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Michael Agwi | 70c | 33.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Michael Agwi | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Maxime Chazal | 46c | 33.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Michael Agwi | 38c | 26.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Michael Agwi | 63c | 24.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Michael Agwi | 55c | 22.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Michael Agwi | 71c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Michael Agwi | 66c | 17.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.