World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x831167ac7bc8f162a3e2078335f7106af16cee21688ba9be2dad4ba6e1772132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.64 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 26c | 943.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 65c | 805.62$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 463 | 29.4%136 W · 327 L | -69.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 19c | 642.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 471 | 37.6%177 W · 294 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 44c | 509.19$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 14c | 494.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 70c | 446.2$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 78c | 425.55$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 32c | 413.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 77c | 412.83$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 75c | 344.78$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 338 | 55.3%187 W · 151 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…6ed2backed No | 10c | 229.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 78c | 216.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 40c | 215$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 211.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 553 | 51.2%283 W · 270 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 20c | 202.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 147 | 17%25 W · 122 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…2f85backed Yes | 65c | 199.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 24c | 198.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 23c | 196.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +14.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 37c | 194.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 64c | 181.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed No | 62c | 168.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 77c | 165.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 77c | 153.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 151$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 374 | 58%217 W · 157 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 149.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 187 | 34.8%65 W · 122 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 21c | 149.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 142.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1,350 | 44.4%600 W · 750 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…49ebbacked Yes | 47c | 139.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…140cbacked Yes | 42c | 122.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 119.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 247 | 60.3%149 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 32c | 116.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 77c | 106.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 58 | 84.5%49 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 27c | 103.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes | 24c | 102.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 19c | 101.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…0020backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…2576backed Yes | 30c | 97.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…52dbbacked No | 56c | 96.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 26c | 96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed No | 77c | 93.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 69c | 92.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 16c | 84.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 69c | 84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 59c | 83.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 82.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 436 | 49.5%216 W · 220 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 72c | 79.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 75c | 79.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…5cb2backed Yes | 66c | 77.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…825ebacked Yes | 75c | 73.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 71cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…e245backed Yes | 76c | 71.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 42c | 68.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 36c | 67.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…8b84backed Yes | 66c | 67.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 31c | 65.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 59c | 65.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 76c | 63.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 63.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…2131backed Yes | 33c | 63.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 28c | 60.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 164 | 55.5%91 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 38c | 60.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…2b5fbacked Yes | 19c | 60.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…11d2backed Yes | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…6ca8backed Yes | 27c | 53.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 70c | 52.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…d3afbacked Yes | 69c | 49.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…d959backed Yes | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed No | 74c | 47.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…3c03backed Yes | 29c | 45.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7e…ee7bbacked Yes | 36c | 41.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed No | 69c | 41.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked No | 75c | 40.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 33c | 40.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 209 | 64.1%134 W · 75 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…9236backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 39.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 341 | 40.2%137 W · 204 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…b233backed Yes | 26c | 38.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3084backed Yes | 75c | 38.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…6e93backed No | 77c | 38.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed No | 78c | 38.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 61c | 37.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 67c | 36.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 56c | 36.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…cf75backed Yes | 53c | 35.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…253ebacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 77c | 34.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 59c | 34.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on August 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.