Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Duje Markovina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8369571fa9245c08fb3bb9332a105185e08aae346a7d4953ea9bf5d422ae764b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duje Markovinaof Chase Ferguson, Duje Markovina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chase Ferguson | 67c | 17,384$11,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,633.9 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Duje Markovina | 33c | 15,995$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,680.57 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Duje Markovina | 54c | 10,214$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,691.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Chase Ferguson | 67c | 6,462$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.79 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Chase Ferguson | 44c | 3,967$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Chase Ferguson | 29c | 3,643$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.38 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duje Markovina | 63c | 3,633$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Chase Ferguson | 42c | 1,712$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.27 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Duje Markovina | 57c | 1,385$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.89 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chase Ferguson | 32c | 1,296$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.18 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chase Ferguson | 32c | 1,092$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.08 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duje Markovina | 58c | 969.4$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.3 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chase Ferguson | 57c | 749$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.96 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Chase Ferguson | 43c | 664.21$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.61 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Duje Markovina | 68c | 625.56$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Duje Markovina | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Chase Ferguson | 36c | 514$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Duje Markovina | 50c | 512.72$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Duje Markovina | 57c | 423$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chase Ferguson | 33c | 402$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Duje Markovina | 43c | 355.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Duje Markovina | 70c | 344.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…1cfabacked Duje Markovina | 33c | 299.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Duje Markovina | 62c | 259.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Duje Markovina | 60c | 234.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Chase Ferguson | 59c | 216.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Chase Ferguson | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Duje Markovina | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Duje Markovina | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chase Ferguson | 31c | 144.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Duje Markovina | 45c | 142.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chase Ferguson | 29c | 140.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Duje Markovina | 53c | 107.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Chase Ferguson | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Chase Ferguson | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chase Ferguson | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Duje Markovina | 61c | 98.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Duje Markovina | 49c | 96.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Duje Markovina | 42c | 80.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Chase Ferguson | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Duje Markovina | 70c | 68.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Duje Markovina | 57c | 61.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chase Ferguson | 38c | 60.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Duje Markovina | 72c | 59.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Chase Ferguson | 40c | 50.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…a482backed Duje Markovina | 61c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duje Markovina | 55c | 44.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chase Ferguson | 42c | 43.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…0f83backed Chase Ferguson | 59c | 43.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Chase Ferguson | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Duje Markovina | 60c | 31.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Duje Markovina | 70c | 30.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Chase Ferguson | 36c | 30.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed Chase Ferguson | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…b258backed Chase Ferguson | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Duje Markovina | 46c | 27.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Duje Markovina | 55c | 27.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Duje Markovina | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Duje Markovina | 57c | 25.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Chase Ferguson | 51c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…5dcdbacked Chase Ferguson | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Duje Markovina | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220b…9bd5backed Chase Ferguson | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Duje Markovina | 58c | 18.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.