NHL · resolved market
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83be8a1913527b579972cf47c2a04fb4b32318b4f939904b0caf7022440d93f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Severstal Cherepovetsof Severstal Cherepovets, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,434 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Torpedo | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Torpedo | 41c | 971.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…8427backed Severstal Cherepovets | 50c | 956$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Torpedo | 41c | 800.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.66 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 706.22$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.55 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Severstal Cherepovets | 55c | 610.92$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Severstal Cherepovets | 58c | 605.07$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.13 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 366.26$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 339.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 281.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Severstal Cherepovets | 77c | 244$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Torpedo | 42c | 242.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Severstal Cherepovets | 67c | 232.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Torpedo | 42c | 229$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Torpedo | 32c | 158.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Torpedo | 36c | 157.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Torpedo | 42c | 139$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Torpedo | 43c | 115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Torpedo | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Severstal Cherepovets | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Torpedo | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Torpedo | 44c | 83.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…76eabacked Severstal Cherepovets | 62c | 75.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 75.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 54c | 69.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…48b6backed Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Torpedo | 31c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Severstal Cherepovets | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Torpedo | 39c | 47.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Severstal Cherepovets | 72c | 47.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Severstal Cherepovets | 57c | 40.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Severstal Cherepovets | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Torpedo | 41c | 36.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Torpedo | 38c | 32.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…c8babacked Severstal Cherepovets | 63c | 31.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 30.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 30.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 50c | 26.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Severstal Cherepovets | 77c | 25.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…cf7abacked Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Torpedo | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Severstal Cherepovets | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 80c | 13.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.63 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.