NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f6581dfb763cda4c88dba4a5a13fc7e9ab684400ba33b258fd9b40930111c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Wizards, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Wizards | 17c | 12,208$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.33 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Wizards | 20c | 10,236$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Wizards | 0c | 4,573$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 20c | 3,557$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.26 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Wizards | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Wizards | 12c | 1,976$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 18c | 1,860$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 2c | 1,850$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Wizards | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Wizards | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Wizards | 17c | 1,458$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Wizards | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Wizards | 17c | 1,059$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Wizards | 21c | 999.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Wizards | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…8795backed Wizards | 11c | 669.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 4c | 639.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 79c | 555.2$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Magic | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Wizards | 17c | 501$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Wizards | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Wizards | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Wizards | 11c | 382.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…fed2backed Wizards | 14c | 379.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…bfb2backed Wizards | 22c | 378.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…b023backed Wizards | 7c | 366.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…022dbacked Wizards | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Wizards | 17c | 317.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d4…d566backed Wizards | 19c | 311.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Wizards | 21c | 306.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 20c | 306.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…6d92backed Wizards | 7c | 306.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…ad4fbacked Magic | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…6fd3backed Wizards | 17c | 286.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Wizards | 25c | 284$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Wizards | 22c | 240.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Wizards | 19c | 224.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…30adbacked Wizards | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Wizards | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Wizards | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Wizards | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Wizards | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…e3d2backed Wizards | 17c | 190.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Wizards | 19c | 171.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed Wizards | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Wizards | 15c | 162.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c2…9326backed Magic | 76c | 145$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…456dbacked Wizards | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…2a7abacked Wizards | 20c | 130.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Wizards | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…3817backed Wizards | 22c | 114.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 25c | 104.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…edb6backed Wizards | 20c | 100.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…1a25backed Wizards | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Wizards | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Wizards | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2af9backed Wizards | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Wizards | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Wizards | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Wizards | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed Wizards | 18c | 77.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…9f10backed Wizards | 24c | 75.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0a…07d2backed Wizards | 15c | 70.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…d1e0backed Magic | 77c | 70.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…bb5abacked Wizards | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Magic | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed Magic | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Magic | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…5dffbacked Magic | 78c | 63.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…965cbacked Wizards | 24c | 61.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…abe5backed Magic | 78c | 56.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Wizards | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…43fdbacked Wizards | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…5be8backed Wizards | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ff…0907backed Wizards | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…95a6backed Magic | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…f832backed Magic | 78c | 40.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…925ebacked Wizards | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…ec08backed Magic | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…2d19backed Magic | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…4fb5backed Magic | 76c | 26.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…35febacked Magic | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…3714backed Magic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f5…a608backed Magic | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…1b12backed Magic | 69c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…6e66backed Magic | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…05dfbacked Magic | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…3a51backed Magic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.