TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Laura Samson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Julia Rieraof Julia Riera, Laura Samson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4490…88d5backed Laura Samson68c11,473$7,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,759.2960%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Julia Riera49c2,810$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.844,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Julia Riera73c2,331$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.9262061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Laura Samson16c1,936$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julia Riera75c1,820$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.547,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Julia Riera68c1,412$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.8424962.2%155 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Laura Samson3c1,152$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.158048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Julia Riera49c1,019$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.278,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Julia Riera52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48045343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Laura Samson29c628.57$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Julia Riera65c600.3$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.94,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Laura Samson62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31032851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Laura Samson63c477.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…3a93backed Julia Riera64c467.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9216045.6%73 W · 87 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julia Riera38c464.25$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.048,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Julia Riera17c450$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.42per pick11cpaid+342.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Julia Riera17c450$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+7.2wins+0.45per pick11cpaid+334.9%equal weight69+0.18 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Julia Riera48c373.5$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.629,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Laura Samson61c322.58$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.381,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Julia Riera70c317$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9635187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Julia Riera27c306$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3669438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Julia Riera17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2491241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick11cpaid+184.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Julia Riera17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2494932.7%16 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+131.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Julia Riera17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2493542.9%15 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+212%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Julia Riera43c255.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6532935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Julia Riera22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1957828.2%22 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Julia Riera49c208.55$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.225,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Julia Riera28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14429039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Julia Riera32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13639941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Julia Riera37c199.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9930339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Laura Samson31c194$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1438422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Julia Riera63c189.15$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9929754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Julia Riera32c186$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7645235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Julia Riera30c186$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3448235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Julia Riera38c181.13$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8697141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Julia Riera38c174$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8837047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Julia Riera40c172.53$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.964,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Julia Riera38c168.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.545,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Julia Riera37c162.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2785634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Julia Riera33c159.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4167838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Laura Samson60c153.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.391,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Julia Riera17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.51389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Julia Riera18c132$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.964829.2%14 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+273.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Laura Samson21c131.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.642,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e29…ca2cbacked Julia Riera40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Laura Samson41c110.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.966,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Julia Riera49c106$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.471,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Julia Riera20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806456.3%36 W · 28 L+18.4wins+0.29per pick27cpaid+109.2%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Laura Samson60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6056062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Julia Riera53c96.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.296,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Julia Riera31c85.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.242152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Julia Riera42c82.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Laura Samson34c76.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.113,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Julia Riera39c71.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7923754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Laura Samson17c67.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Julia Riera36c63.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.531,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Julia Riera65c62.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.843,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Julia Riera27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.69353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Julia Riera39c56.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.293,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Laura Samson63c56.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.491,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Julia Riera44c53.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3042350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Julia Riera38c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.862,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba22…4333backed Julia Riera70c52.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Laura Samson59c51.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.361,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Laura Samson35c50.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8853736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Laura Samson61c49.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4916047.5%76 W · 84 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Laura Samson35c46.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.999639.6%38 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b54…76eabacked Laura Samson39c45.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Julia Riera56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.383047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a48…642fbacked Julia Riera40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+85.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Julia Riera57c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.381,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Laura Samson48c30.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Julia Riera40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1827853.2%148 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Julia Riera37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Julia Riera40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515060%90 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Julia Riera63c23.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.748450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Laura Samson57c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.111,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c2…e8b8backed Laura Samson61c21.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.833831.6%12 W · 26 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Laura Samson61c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Laura Samson48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016242%68 W · 94 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x925e…eacebacked Laura Samson61c20.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Julia Riera68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.488273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…17dfbacked Laura Samson61c19.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.