Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8610bced4dc7079f1923d7b0b71e7cccff5e0440954053686cdb9885705e3a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 41c | 2,199$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.78 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 75c | 545.21$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 16c | 525.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 40c | 348.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 15c | 346.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…7a6dbacked Yes | 59c | 228.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 59c | 212.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 53c | 187.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 59c | 136.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 57c | 131.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 30c | 120.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 119.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 23c | 108.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 41c | 102.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 49c | 101.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 55c | 98.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 50c | 95.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 50c | 90.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 87.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 47c | 86.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed Yes | 57c | 80.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 55c | 70.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 43c | 69.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 68.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 64.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a9…bd85backed Yes | 52c | 63.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 54.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 57c | 47.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 42c | 47.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 39c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed No | 37c | 43.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 32c | 39.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 39c | 37.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked Yes | 57c | 37.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…7809backed Yes | 49c | 34.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 51c | 34.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 53c | 33.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 53c | 33.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…9a81backed Yes | 57c | 33.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…f600backed Yes | 53c | 31.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…871ebacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 78c | 28.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 45c | 27.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 54c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 49c | 26.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…e815backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 50c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…516ebacked Yes | 57c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…963dbacked Yes | 58c | 24.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…c50abacked Yes | 60c | 24.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…c75fbacked Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…bf7bbacked Yes | 58c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 54c | 22.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…6d71backed Yes | 51c | 21.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…a96dbacked Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…9bb2backed Yes | 56c | 20.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 166 | 42.8%71 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed Yes | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.