Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8752fd1580db563165589dad128a45d2ed7950fa968a9da8ce4e689a71178ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Pablo Varillasof Juan Pablo Varillas, Bruno Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Bruno Fernandez | 58c | 241,031$140,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,761.36 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bruno Fernandez | 47c | 41,427$19,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,658.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bruno Fernandez | 40c | 31,129$12,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,464.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruno Fernandez | 33c | 16,986$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Bruno Fernandez | 32c | 15,358$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.95 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 9,952$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,613.44 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 49c | 5,429$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 5,077$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.14 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 5,070$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.21 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 5,062$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.63 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 5,011$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.81 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,996$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.94 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,994$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.62 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,965$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.08 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 4,964$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.54 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,946$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.42 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 4,916$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.18 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,897$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.51 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,878$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.1 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,834$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,803$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.25 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,753$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.75 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,753$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.75 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,746$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.59 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 4,733$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 4,638$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.12 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruno Fernandez | 18c | 4,481$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 4,453$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.11 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Bruno Fernandez | 22c | 4,446$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Bruno Fernandez | 42c | 4,403$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.6 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bruno Fernandez | 45c | 4,381$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.89 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 3,684$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.41 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bruno Fernandez | 21c | 3,542$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruno Fernandez | 44c | 3,145$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.76 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 2,236$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.69 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Bruno Fernandez | 45c | 1,812$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.37 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Bruno Fernandez | 42c | 1,628$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.52 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 1,496$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.68 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 1,493$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.98 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 1,475$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.75 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 1,248$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.62 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Bruno Fernandez | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bruno Fernandez | 42c | 1,072$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bruno Fernandez | 50c | 999.77$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.09 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 39c | 991.04$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.74 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Bruno Fernandez | 38c | 799.47$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.6 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 730.91$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.31 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 59c | 710.27$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Bruno Fernandez | 45c | 700.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.44 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 64c | 669.04$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 590.86$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.7 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 79c | 567.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Bruno Fernandez | 43c | 498.59$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Bruno Fernandez | 38c | 494.74$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 464.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Bruno Fernandez | 53c | 464.27$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.55 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Bruno Fernandez | 39c | 439.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.62 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 438.58$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.43 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 33c | 427.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 404.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.32 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 400$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Bruno Fernandez | 33c | 379.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Bruno Fernandez | 44c | 366$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Bruno Fernandez | 44c | 352$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Bruno Fernandez | 42c | 346.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…861dbacked Bruno Fernandez | 29c | 337.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Bruno Fernandez | 44c | 327$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 44c | 314.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 292.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Bruno Fernandez | 22c | 290.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 73c | 276.87$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Bruno Fernandez | 24c | 268.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Bruno Fernandez | 39c | 261.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Bruno Fernandez | 39c | 259.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Bruno Fernandez | 33c | 252.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 243.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bruno Fernandez | 41c | 231.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Bruno Fernandez | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Bruno Fernandez | 45c | 220.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 39c | 219.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 217.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Bruno Fernandez | 33c | 202$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 199.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Bruno Fernandez | 35c | 199.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Bruno Fernandez | 23c | 197$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Bruno Fernandez | 45c | 189.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 38c | 173.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 42c | 168.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bruno Fernandez | 16c | 161.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Bruno Fernandez | 53c | 153$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Bruno Fernandez | 26c | 148.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 43c | 147$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bruno Fernandez | 36c | 135.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Bruno Fernandez | 45c | 129.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Bruno Fernandez | 23c | 129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…0bd7backed Bruno Fernandez | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 123.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Bruno Fernandezthis page
- Set Handicap: Varillas (-1.5) vs Fernandez (+1.5)Fernandez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.