Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8849ad6f64a501959b096a8f019e04bcc85f25610288c415015afc153b73ab06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 988.13$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 14c | 839.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…8723backed Yes | 41c | 700.43$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.36 | 45 | 86.7%39 W · 6 L | +16.1wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 76+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 410.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 23c | 390.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 60c | 372.65$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 24c | 334$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 10c | 298.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 69c | 289.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 30c | 270.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…996bbacked Yes | 29c | 238.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 14c | 225.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…3255backed Yes | 29c | 222.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 219.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 18c | 186.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 7c | 182.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 159.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 17c | 156.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 14c | 153.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 70c | 149.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1c67backed Yes | 72c | 134.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 98 | 77.6%76 W · 22 L | +16.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 25c | 130$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 12c | 129.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 129.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 16c | 120.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 100.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…bb28backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 99.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 76c | 98.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 24c | 96.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 90.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…063dbacked Yes | 17c | 88.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 75c | 87.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 28c | 87.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…0e22backed Yes | 24c | 86.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 76c | 79.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 22c | 78.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 18c | 78.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 77.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…5062backed No | 14c | 75.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 26c | 70.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 71c | 68.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 22c | 66.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 66.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…ab63backed Yes | 74c | 63.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 73c | 59.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…2a50backed No | 50c | 55.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -15.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…0d14backed Yes | 27c | 54.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…bad2backed No | 34c | 47.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 75c | 47.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 74c | 45.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…c9e1backed No | 34c | 41.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…1838backed No | 74c | 40.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed No | 41c | 36.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…612fbacked Yes | 67c | 33.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 73c | 32.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 46c | 32.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 79c | 31.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 78c | 30.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…d5e9backed No | 79c | 30.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…d007backed Yes | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 72c | 27.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…61debacked No | 75c | 25.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 73c | 25.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…8a4dbacked No | 76c | 25.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked No | 78c | 25.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 74c | 22.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 70c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 19.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 74c | 19.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 77c | 19.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 77c | 18.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…25cabacked Yes | 67c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 77c | 17.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 70c | 16.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 77c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…91f8backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…9fbdbacked No | 75c | 14.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.