Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Andreas Timini vs Giulio Perego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89624dfd999ebbb3e99bbb35b0bc3a1cf32151051acca69bfd86d690ec65a3de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giulio Peregoof Andreas Timini, Giulio Perego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giulio Perego | 69c | 33,201$22,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,387.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…9cf8backed Andreas Timini | 58c | 16,872$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Andreas Timini | 21c | 13,491$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…28afbacked Andreas Timini | 44c | 11,094$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Andreas Timini | 23c | 8,291$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Andreas Timini | 2c | 2,174$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…41d4backed Giulio Perego | 19c | 2,083$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.57per pick | 26cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed Giulio Perego | 20c | 1,917$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 21cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Giulio Perego | 57c | 1,843$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…f1b6backed Giulio Perego | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Giulio Perego | 54c | 1,008$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.83 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Giulio Perego | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Giulio Perego | 58c | 926.21$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Andreas Timini | 37c | 810$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Giulio Perego | 45c | 520.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Giulio Perego | 63c | 440.27$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Giulio Perego | 64c | 412$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Giulio Perego | 29c | 399.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.62 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Giulio Perego | 72c | 390.56$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Giulio Perego | 38c | 366$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.09 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Andreas Timini | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Giulio Perego | 48c | 340$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Giulio Perego | 48c | 280$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Giulio Perego | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Giulio Perego | 49c | 208.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Giulio Perego | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Giulio Perego | 37c | 200.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Giulio Perego | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…5507backed Giulio Perego | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.55per pick | 31cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Giulio Perego | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Giulio Perego | 25c | 179$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Giulio Perego | 54c | 171.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Giulio Perego | 77c | 158.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Andreas Timini | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Giulio Perego | 56c | 129.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Giulio Perego | 58c | 120.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Andreas Timini | 43c | 116.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Giulio Perego | 37c | 103.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Giulio Perego | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…33cfbacked Andreas Timini | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Giulio Perego | 52c | 95.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Giulio Perego | 54c | 82.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Andreas Timini | 42c | 67.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Giulio Perego | 57c | 67.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Giulio Perego | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Giulio Perego | 57c | 59.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Giulio Perego | 78c | 58.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Andreas Timini | 40c | 55.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Giulio Perego | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Giulio Perego | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Andreas Timini | 39c | 39.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Giulio Perego | 49c | 38.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Giulio Perego | 61c | 35.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Andreas Timini | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Giulio Perego | 76c | 31.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Giulio Perego | 78c | 30.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Andreas Timini | 40c | 27.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Giulio Perego | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Giulio Perego | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Giulio Perego | 76c | 25.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Giulio Perego | 69c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Giulio Perego | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Giulio Perego | 61c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Giulio Perego | 70c | 24.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Giulio Perego | 77c | 23.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Giulio Perego | 59c | 20.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…be94backed Giulio Perego | 59c | 20.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Giulio Perego | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Giulio Perego | 59c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Andreas Timini | 64c | 15.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Giulio Perego | 77c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Giulio Perego | 74c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Giulio Perego | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.