Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9818f559c39031a4b30c1c8e5730e3312f4de0f147757436ee2db3fc617852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x146f…9410backed Yes | 49c | 513.22$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 44c | 500.32$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 35c | 344$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 55c | 321.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 41c | 244.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 29c | 232.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 45c | 223.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 57c | 223.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 45c | 182.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 55c | 180.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 176.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 47c | 164.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 159.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 51c | 139.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 134.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 59c | 128.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 29c | 120.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 105.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 34c | 90.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 65c | 86.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 35c | 85.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 44c | 79.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 45c | 79.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 46c | 77.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 15c | 76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 63c | 75.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked No | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -18.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 55c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 41c | 71.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 44c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 69.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 48c | 62.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 71c | 61.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…e3e8backed No | 64c | 60.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 88 | 71.6%63 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 64c | 59.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 42c | 58.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 41c | 58.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 53c | 56.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 58c | 55.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 52c | 55.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 52c | 52.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 48c | 46.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 52c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 47c | 44.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…3d85backed Yes | 45c | 38.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 54c | 37.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 39c | 36.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 35.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…e694backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 39c | 34.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 56c | 33.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 47c | 32.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…c0fabacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…3e30backed Yes | 65c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -14.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Yes | 61c | 28.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -16.6wins | -0.29per pick | 61cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed No | 59c | 27.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 54c | 26.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 55c | 25.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 48c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e3…5897backed Yes | 51c | 23.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -20.8wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 64c | 22.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 51c | 22.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed Yes | 60c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 57c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 53c | 18.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…a8cdbacked No | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 118 | 67.8%80 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.