Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Daniel Rincon vs Luca Van Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8be61ca44d0780a7db7c6a9c8170a9df637941b22138c87a1a6e93bbca615e23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Van Asscheof Daniel Rincon, Luca Van Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Daniel Rincon | 1c | 17,300$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luca Van Assche | 79c | 8,846$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.55 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luca Van Assche | 78c | 5,286$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Daniel Rincon | 24c | 4,589$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.04 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 3,875$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.13 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Rincon | 18c | 3,410$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luca Van Assche | 70c | 1,946$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.68 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Rincon | 33c | 999.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.49 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Rincon | 8c | 945.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Daniel Rincon | 23c | 836.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Daniel Rincon | 7c | 737.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Daniel Rincon | 14c | 718.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Daniel Rincon | 32c | 626.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Daniel Rincon | 4c | 575$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 561.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Luca Van Assche | 77c | 518.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luca Van Assche | 68c | 515$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Daniel Rincon | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 444.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Daniel Rincon | 28c | 436.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Daniel Rincon | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…ea2bbacked Daniel Rincon | 26c | 381.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Luca Van Assche | 80c | 323.7$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Daniel Rincon | 23c | 269.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Luca Van Assche | 69c | 252.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Daniel Rincon | 36c | 226.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luca Van Assche | 77c | 206.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luca Van Assche | 77c | 194.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Daniel Rincon | 30c | 166.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…a9b0backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Daniel Rincon | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Daniel Rincon | 27c | 139.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Luca Van Assche | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Daniel Rincon | 25c | 117.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Rincon | 15c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Luca Van Assche | 65c | 110.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Daniel Rincon | 19c | 107.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Daniel Rincon | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Daniel Rincon | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…008cbacked Luca Van Assche | 79c | 80.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luca Van Assche | 71c | 79.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Daniel Rincon | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Daniel Rincon | 17c | 74.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Luca Van Assche | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Daniel Rincon | 30c | 70.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Daniel Rincon | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Daniel Rincon | 36c | 53.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85e…5cd5backed Luca Van Assche | 73c | 52.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Daniel Rincon | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 47.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Daniel Rincon | 22c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Rincon | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Luca Van Assche | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Luca Van Assche | 65c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Daniel Rincon | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Luca Van Assche | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Luca Van Assche | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Luca Van Assche | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Luca Van Assche | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Luca Van Assche | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Luca Van Assche | 79c | 18.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Luca Van Assche | 69c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.