CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Mousquetaires (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bee1cd49a5715c429ad644ee8cb56fd1b82374e746377a2d9fdb3203a09dee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mousquetairesof Lilmix, Mousquetaires
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,202 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Mousquetaires | 46c | 1,245$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mousquetaires | 44c | 1,173$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.19 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Lilmix | 56c | 898.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 20c | 739.11$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Lilmix | 60c | 671.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Lilmix | 56c | 663.56$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.49 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Mousquetaires | 62c | 472.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Mousquetaires | 45c | 446.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.75 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lilmix | 57c | 426$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mousquetaires | 43c | 354.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mousquetaires | 79c | 339.45$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mousquetaires | 63c | 324.59$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…f4e3backed Lilmix | 58c | 324.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 55c | 321$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Mousquetaires | 41c | 318.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Mousquetaires | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Lilmix | 37c | 295.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lilmix | 55c | 286$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…98dbbacked Lilmix | 59c | 279.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked Mousquetaires | 77c | 275.57$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Mousquetaires | 41c | 267.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Mousquetaires | 60c | 262.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Mousquetaires | 44c | 261.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mousquetaires | 43c | 223.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.66 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Mousquetaires | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Mousquetaires | 66c | 190.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lilmix | 39c | 189$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lilmix | 12c | 175.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Lilmix | 58c | 171.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mousquetaires | 60c | 157.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…c250backed Mousquetaires | 65c | 153.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lilmix | 39c | 153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Lilmix | 27c | 152.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lilmix | 22c | 145.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lilmix | 32c | 137.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lilmix | 39c | 136$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Lilmix | 41c | 136$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked Mousquetaires | 76c | 130.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…30a1backed Mousquetaires | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Lilmix | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lilmix | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Lilmix | 55c | 117.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Mousquetaires | 61c | 109$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lilmix | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Lilmix | 55c | 100.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Lilmix | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Lilmix | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Lilmix | 32c | 94.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Lilmix | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Mousquetaires | 57c | 80.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Mousquetaires | 45c | 74.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Lilmix | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Lilmix | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lilmix | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Lilmix | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lilmix | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lilmix | 21c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…7780backed Lilmix | 50c | 62.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Lilmix | 46c | 60.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Mousquetaires | 62c | 60.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Lilmix | 39c | 58.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lilmix | 32c | 57.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Mousquetaires | 45c | 52.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Lilmix | 55c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Mousquetaires | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Lilmix | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…91bfbacked Mousquetaires | 60c | 38.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Lilmix | 55c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Lilmix | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lilmix | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Mousquetaires | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Lilmix | 55c | 22.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Lilmix | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…eab3backed Lilmix | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Lilmix | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…49dfbacked Mousquetaires | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9566…a792backed Mousquetaires | 73c | 14.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Mousquetaires (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Mousquetaires - Map 2 WinnerMousquetaires won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.