Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c9b1e3936410b4e3961dda917eee2a1eb056d9568b5118eb905a8323621d367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 72c | 3,180$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.2 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 28c | 2,230$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.8 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 29c | 1,667$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…4d62backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 25c | 698.2$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 75c | 627.61$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.79 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 32c | 400$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ab3backed Yes | 69c | 363.12$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 75c | 306.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 31c | 222.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed No | 28c | 213.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 24c | 206$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 167.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 12c | 165.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 69c | 122.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 30c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 77c | 88.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 30c | 86.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 28c | 64.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 31c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 61.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 67c | 39.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 68c | 34.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 29.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 28.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…0dfebacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Yes | 67c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 72c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Yes | 75c | 17.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will FK Žalgiris Vilnius vs. OFK Petrovac end in a draw?No won
- Will OFK Petrovac win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.