Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dbac718dd0088ca29ac270c8fb403ec50b68ac57cf4c7426c4def0ff16f1039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof IU Indy Jaguars, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed IU Indy Jaguars | 26c | 6,191$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.64 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Green Bay Phoenix | 74c | 1,679$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.56 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 75c | 1,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 1,563$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed IU Indy Jaguars | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.93 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 1,391$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 74c | 1,271$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 1,098$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 70c | 885.63$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 68c | 437$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed IU Indy Jaguars | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed IU Indy Jaguars | 25c | 368.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 367.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Green Bay Phoenix | 69c | 347.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 263.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 69c | 208.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Green Bay Phoenix | 74c | 184$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 77c | 181$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 75c | 179.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 27c | 164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Green Bay Phoenix | 76c | 158$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed IU Indy Jaguars | 16c | 146.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 77c | 144$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 25c | 135.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 21c | 124.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 28c | 120.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 27c | 111.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 76c | 104.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed IU Indy Jaguars | 28c | 90.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 25c | 80.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 70c | 65.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Green Bay Phoenix | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…b231backed IU Indy Jaguars | 18c | 58.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars | 24c | 55.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Green Bay Phoenix | 67c | 53.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Green Bay Phoenix | 72c | 52.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 50.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 77c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 78c | 24.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 76c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 72c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…c435backed Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 18.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Green Bay Phoenix | 74c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- IU Indy Jaguars vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-6.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.