Lol · resolved market
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90bca75301ccd53bd97eb966ece9bbb9beb21dbecf16aa4e1e55967223679e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Estral Esports, INTZ e-Sports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2935…96f7backed INTZ e-Sports | 2c | 7,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked INTZ e-Sports | 66c | 5,942$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.88 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Estral Esports | 46c | 1,813$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.3 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Estral Esports | 39c | 1,439$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.3 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Estral Esports | 66c | 999.99$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Estral Esports | 34c | 998.37$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.51 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed INTZ e-Sports | 36c | 703.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Estral Esports | 48c | 699.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Estral Esports | 16c | 612.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.28 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Estral Esports | 80c | 530$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked INTZ e-Sports | 72c | 500.18$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked INTZ e-Sports | 45c | 445.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Estral Esports | 40c | 373.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Estral Esports | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Estral Esports | 44c | 228.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed INTZ e-Sports | 68c | 203.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ef…4a40backed Estral Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Estral Esports | 53c | 196$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed INTZ e-Sports | 53c | 191$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked INTZ e-Sports | 44c | 173.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed INTZ e-Sports | 47c | 167.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b7…5d2cbacked Estral Esports | 75c | 133.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Estral Esports | 40c | 114.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked INTZ e-Sports | 60c | 111.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed INTZ e-Sports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717c…83adbacked Estral Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Estral Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Estral Esports | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed INTZ e-Sports | 43c | 97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Estral Esports | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Estral Esports | 43c | 93.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed INTZ e-Sports | 75c | 69.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Estral Esports | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Estral Esports | 65c | 65.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed INTZ e-Sports | 42c | 63.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked INTZ e-Sports | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed INTZ e-Sports | 32c | 60.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Estral Esports | 30c | 60.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…bdd7backed INTZ e-Sports | 38c | 58.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 134 | 21.6%29 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed INTZ e-Sports | 70c | 57.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed INTZ e-Sports | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed INTZ e-Sports | 49c | 51.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed INTZ e-Sports | 38c | 50.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Estral Esports | 45c | 44.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Estral Esports | 66c | 42.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked INTZ e-Sports | 57c | 38.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed INTZ e-Sports | 48c | 38.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked INTZ e-Sports | 55c | 38.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed INTZ e-Sports | 35c | 37.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…07d6backed Estral Esports | 50c | 36.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa91…c764backed Estral Esports | 75c | 33.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Estral Esports | 63c | 32.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed INTZ e-Sports | 51c | 30.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed INTZ e-Sports | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed INTZ e-Sports | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2843backed INTZ e-Sports | 59c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Estral Esports | 44c | 23.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Estral Esports | 75c | 22.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 43 | 81.4%35 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Estral Esports | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsINTZ e-Sports won
- LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 2 WinnerINTZ e-Sports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.