Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9124bb2787134bbb33161a9c9a448c6afe15a4f0f668b8cec7e78f24b34ae80e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 43c | 1,021$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 324$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 322.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 29c | 309.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 243.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 31c | 142.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 67c | 134.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10c…c0d8backed Yes | 33c | 133.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 32c | 128.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 121.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…063dbacked Yes | 35c | 113.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 111.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 69c | 104.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 36c | 104.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 72c | 101.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 33c | 100.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 50c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 99.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…aef2backed Yes | 31c | 97.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…791bbacked No | 45c | 82.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 30c | 81.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 221 | 25.3%56 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 69c | 78.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 45c | 77.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 72c | 76.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 64c | 74.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 65c | 73.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…e084backed No | 69c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 74c | 68.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 67c | 62.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 59.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…8999backed Yes | 35c | 59.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 70c | 56.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 42c | 55.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…b921backed No | 69c | 47.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 29c | 47.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 63c | 45.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 33c | 45.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 44.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 69c | 44.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 23c | 42.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 40.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 163 | 39.9%65 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 39c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 61c | 39.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked No | 80c | 39.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 39c | 39.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 73c | 38.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed No | 70c | 36.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 35c | 35.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…f9c4backed No | 72c | 33.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…d0babacked No | 40c | 31.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 46c | 30.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 69c | 29.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 72c | 26.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…bcc3backed No | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 46c | 24.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 74c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 69c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 73c | 18.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 68c | 17.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 65c | 17.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 17.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 71c | 16.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 73c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…7c22backed No | 67c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.