MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92469655765c8b8c7624786f9c6d55879794da7f100cb61c1fadb6ccc0c5a6b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 17,653$8,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,492.64 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 57c | 10,000$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.52 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 5,732$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.74 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 3,179$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 48c | 2,488$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.44 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 2,474$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.76 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 2,400$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.29 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 2,075$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 2,040$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 27c | 1,944$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.12 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 1,930$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 1,680$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.32 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.07 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.49 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 50c | 999.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 929.6$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.91 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 844.76$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.83 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Over | 48c | 732.88$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 719.43$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 636.37$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 63c | 474.92$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.85 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 454.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.4 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 53c | 448.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.03 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 447.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 65c | 441$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 56c | 372$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 49c | 341.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 29c | 336.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.63 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 29c | 336.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.58 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 333.79$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 269.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 255.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 253.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 246.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 60c | 227.79$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 210.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.67 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 32c | 179.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 38c | 169.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 29c | 168$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 62c | 163.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 33c | 142.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 30c | 122.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 69c | 115.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 48c | 105.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 49c | 100.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 83.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 63c | 81.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 62c | 71.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 66c | 68.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 29c | 68.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 38c | 66.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 65c | 61.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Over | 48c | 60.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 49c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 53.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 52c | 53.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 46.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Over | 58c | 43.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…06b3backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 31c | 39.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Over | 42c | 35.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…df3ebacked Over | 45c | 35.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Over | 48c | 32.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Over | 66c | 31.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 49c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…4928backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…73fabacked Over | 38c | 28.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Over | 53c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Over | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Over | 50c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Over | 67c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.