Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Elena Micic vs Carolyn Ansari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x925cd35a7ae3786bb5f9e3ff829f625527dc9419cc98b8143540d2a734e0edb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Micicof Elena Micic, Carolyn Ansari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Elena Micic | 66c | 9,151$6,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Carolyn Ansari | 32c | 5,344$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.51 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Carolyn Ansari | 27c | 3,323$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.63 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Carolyn Ansari | 56c | 958.53$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.03 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carolyn Ansari | 26c | 944.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Carolyn Ansari | 42c | 916.5$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.83 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Carolyn Ansari | 41c | 891.17$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.41 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elena Micic | 64c | 801.52$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.15 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carolyn Ansari | 42c | 746.01$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carolyn Ansari | 29c | 649.83$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Elena Micic | 52c | 572.29$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.65 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Elena Micic | 70c | 538.29$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.84 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carolyn Ansari | 37c | 506.07$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Carolyn Ansari | 54c | 401.52$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.83 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Elena Micic | 48c | 348.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Carolyn Ansari | 50c | 302.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Carolyn Ansari | 32c | 251$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Carolyn Ansari | 53c | 245.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Elena Micic | 66c | 235$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Elena Micic | 45c | 224.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elena Micic | 63c | 175$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Carolyn Ansari | 28c | 172.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Carolyn Ansari | 39c | 149$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Elena Micic | 77c | 136.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Elena Micic | 50c | 132.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Carolyn Ansari | 35c | 130.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Carolyn Ansari | 33c | 124.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Carolyn Ansari | 28c | 123.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Carolyn Ansari | 31c | 110.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carolyn Ansari | 35c | 106.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Carolyn Ansari | 36c | 105.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Carolyn Ansari | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Carolyn Ansari | 36c | 103.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Carolyn Ansari | 36c | 103.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elena Micic | 60c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Carolyn Ansari | 37c | 97.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Elena Micic | 46c | 92.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Elena Micic | 64c | 80.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Elena Micic | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Elena Micic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Carolyn Ansari | 61c | 75.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Carolyn Ansari | 73c | 68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Carolyn Ansari | 49c | 65.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elena Micic | 58c | 61.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Elena Micic | 40c | 60.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Elena Micic | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Elena Micic | 64c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Elena Micic | 64c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Elena Micic | 52c | 47.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Elena Micic | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Carolyn Ansari | 49c | 40.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Elena Micic | 54c | 39.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Elena Micic | 64c | 38.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elena Micic | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Carolyn Ansari | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Elena Micic | 40c | 31.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Carolyn Ansari | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Carolyn Ansari | 59c | 25.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Carolyn Ansari | 60c | 23.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Elena Micic | 62c | 18.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…6c17backed Elena Micic | 71c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.