Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ecfc8f1281ec12e149b0f8009a7b866ec30797567860c8906d2ed434610c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNeese State Cowboysof McNeese State Cowboys, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,802 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed McNeese State Cowboys | 61c | 35,311$21,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,803.46 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 39c | 29,797$11,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620.93 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed McNeese State Cowboys | 70c | 4,177$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.95 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 29c | 3,887$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.11 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 1c | 3,025$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 37c | 1,744$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.86 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…ea07backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 29c | 1,427$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 1,013$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 5c | 999.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 6c | 926.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 2c | 670$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed McNeese State Cowboys | 58c | 520.53$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 3c | 415.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 42c | 400.85$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 392.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed McNeese State Cowboys | 79c | 378.44$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 37c | 333$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 6c | 332.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…dda7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 6c | 332.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 6c | 250.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 41c | 241.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked McNeese State Cowboys | 64c | 226.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 41c | 167.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 123.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 41c | 121.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 22c | 107.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 39c | 106.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 68c | 101.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 15c | 90.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 33c | 75.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…6ccabacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 16c | 71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed McNeese State Cowboys | 61c | 67.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 41c | 48.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…f5b7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 39.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 39c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked McNeese State Cowboys | 70c | 31.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed McNeese State Cowboys | 58c | 30.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 28.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…3468backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 42c | 25.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed McNeese State Cowboys | 78c | 22.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed McNeese State Cowboys | 66c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 60c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed McNeese State Cowboys | 69c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed McNeese State Cowboys | 79c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksthis page
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 132.5Over won
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-3.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.