TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Aresof Misa Esports, G2 Ares
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked G2 Ares80c3,291$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.4263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked G2 Ares57c1,113$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.83,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Misa Esports11c932.55$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.251,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports52c845.93$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.47,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports44c700.98$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.922,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Misa Esports28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19629449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports57c618.62$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.592,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports35c612.73$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.815,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked G2 Ares55c570.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.663,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports14c501.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.752,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked G2 Ares37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3158946.1%41 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked G2 Ares33c471$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31613642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports53c414.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.594,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports45c391$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.952,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Ares49c340.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.672,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares61c296.25$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.391,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Misa Esports45c286.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8615436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares72c269.91$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.115,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Misa Esports47c269.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.34,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed G2 Ares74c243.36$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3616245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports34c208.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8980942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked G2 Ares51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9820444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Misa Esports21c190.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4172139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1620…285dbacked Misa Esports10c182.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aee…c312backed Misa Esports21c179.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.724030%12 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Misa Esports46c170.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4688330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.385,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares72c159.72$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.274,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed G2 Ares65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855766.7%38 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…594bbacked G2 Ares66c151.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.642552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares54c143$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.542,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Misa Esports52c141$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8149143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed G2 Ares59c140.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares60c139.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.262,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports37c126.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed G2 Ares66c119.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8922567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e7…ee13backed Misa Esports56c118$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.081668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed G2 Ares66c117.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4045748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports35c113$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.551,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Misa Esports51c112.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.81,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1e…1e15backed Misa Esports11c110.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc620…7a70backed Misa Esports40c108$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.215540%62 W · 93 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Misa Esports12c102.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3550358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports48c101.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.544,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares56c100.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.476,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Misa Esports60c94.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6224260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.092,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares62c87.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.762,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85af…c5ffbacked Misa Esports24c72.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-82.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked G2 Ares65c68.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8851252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked G2 Ares40c61.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8645450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed G2 Ares65c61.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4316355.2%90 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed G2 Ares64c52.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.957851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…dd67backed Misa Esports64c52.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed G2 Ares43c50.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked G2 Ares52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2426448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed Misa Esports26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139548.4%46 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed G2 Ares69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares52c47.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.742,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x242f…ee3abacked G2 Ares64c46.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked G2 Ares59c43.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8421536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares59c42.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.432,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked G2 Ares68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.313,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bf…24b9backed G2 Ares57c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.914369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked G2 Ares56c35.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4821060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Misa Esports36c32.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.571,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Misa Esports51c31.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed G2 Ares65c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8519451.5%100 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…436bbacked Misa Esports76c30.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.313551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Ares38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed Misa Esports34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed G2 Ares59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.316349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed G2 Ares71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.719447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked G2 Ares52c29.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.212751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares51c29.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4270042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Misa Esports53c28.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3251446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Misa Esports40c28.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3963038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Misa Esports35c28.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1327037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbac…ecc4backed Misa Esports45c26.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218841.5%78 W · 110 L-19.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Misa Esports50c24.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.341,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Misa Esports55c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2721251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked G2 Ares51c20.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1833362.2%207 W · 126 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Misa Esports54c20.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9541853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed Misa Esports59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126333.3%21 W · 42 L-11.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed G2 Ares75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.671,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6b86…5552backed G2 Ares68c17.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5116363.2%103 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.