NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93fd24f915522f5e93f1871ba3d28276622659765fa9ea329088e6f5fbb12a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb340…58c9backed Under | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3f64backed Over | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 1,033$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 753.62$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 599.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Over | 23c | 350$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…0b05backed Under | 78c | 330$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 199.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 62c | 80.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 59c | 50.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…4c7abacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 41c | 40.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 44c | 23.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5this page
- Pelicans vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Pelicans vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Pelicans vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.