Lol · resolved market
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94507d77b8b44d05ddfd884868e0acf0d3b22cd3f58536c6166cb2a9bf8cd1a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EXILE esportsof EXILE esports, BRUTE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked EXILE esports | 59c | 1,148$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.03 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…a961backed BRUTE | 57c | 1,111$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked BRUTE | 54c | 1,081$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.06 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…9cd3backed BRUTE | 42c | 886.3$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed EXILE esports | 59c | 677.01$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed EXILE esports | 41c | 462$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.72 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…8709backed BRUTE | 18c | 450.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed EXILE esports | 44c | 342.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed EXILE esports | 67c | 342.03$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed EXILE esports | 46c | 341.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked BRUTE | 59c | 304.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.57 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…e8d5backed EXILE esports | 44c | 292.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed BRUTE | 38c | 282.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked EXILE esports | 39c | 267.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.21 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked BRUTE | 42c | 251.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 689 | 15.2%105 W · 584 L | -31.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked EXILE esports | 59c | 245.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…142dbacked BRUTE | 41c | 244.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed EXILE esports | 51c | 215.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed BRUTE | 46c | 204$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed BRUTE | 50c | 201.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked EXILE esports | 65c | 199.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755f…2cffbacked BRUTE | 50c | 149.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 259 | 62.5%162 W · 97 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked EXILE esports | 67c | 140$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed BRUTE | 33c | 132.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed EXILE esports | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed EXILE esports | 56c | 111.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 209 | 66.5%139 W · 70 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked BRUTE | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 60.5%101 W · 66 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…167ebacked BRUTE | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked EXILE esports | 76c | 100.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 107 | 79.4%85 W · 22 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked BRUTE | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked EXILE esports | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked EXILE esports | 60c | 90.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked BRUTE | 26c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked BRUTE | 22c | 84.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed EXILE esports | 50c | 82.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed BRUTE | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 46.4%365 W · 421 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed EXILE esports | 69c | 73.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed BRUTE | 42c | 68.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 443 | 55.5%246 W · 197 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked EXILE esports | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked EXILE esports | 69c | 64.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BRUTE | 61c | 63.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked EXILE esports | 61c | 62.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BRUTE | 38c | 54.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked EXILE esports | 53c | 53.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed EXILE esports | 66c | 52.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked EXILE esports | 74c | 52.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed EXILE esports | 66c | 50.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed BRUTE | 48c | 50.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed BRUTE | 50c | 47.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked EXILE esports | 65c | 45.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed EXILE esports | 75c | 44.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…a8d1backed EXILE esports | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed EXILE esports | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed EXILE esports | 56c | 38.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 291 | 30.6%89 W · 202 L | -31.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked BRUTE | 58c | 34.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed EXILE esports | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 419 | 49.9%209 W · 210 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked EXILE esports | 79c | 26.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed EXILE esports | 57c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed BRUTE | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked BRUTE | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonEXILE esports won
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 1 WinnerEXILE esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.