Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e9178534264890541db0d628f55351eb0496f6158a1840dbf9ca6c5926a43a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 55c | 3,661$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.71 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 43c | 780.24$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 62c | 624.68$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.95 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…67c6backed Yes | 44c | 549.19$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 53c | 398.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 46c | 383$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 46c | 323.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 310.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 46c | 273.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 27c | 242$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 10c | 210$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 22c | 194.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 194.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 180.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 45c | 178.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 45c | 176$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 44c | 174.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 53c | 164.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 46c | 162.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 75c | 160$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 59 | 93.2%55 W · 4 L | +21.7wins | +0.37per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 69c | 159.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 148.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 146$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 48c | 137.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 46c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 118.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…598ebacked Yes | 46c | 106.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…2647backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 23c | 96.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…38fabacked Yes | 46c | 94.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 60c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 31c | 80.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 79.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 75.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 47c | 68.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 47c | 68.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…2971backed Yes | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8a8abacked Yes | 20c | 68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 31c | 67.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 16c | 66.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 65.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 52c | 64.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…8afebacked Yes | 46c | 64.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…326dbacked Yes | 49c | 61.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 52c | 58.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 58.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 53c | 56.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 53c | 56.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 41c | 55.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 48c | 54.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…8109backed No | 51c | 54.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 317 | 2.5%8 W · 309 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 53c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 61c | 51.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58a…2a4fbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 46c | 49.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 50c | 48.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 34c | 46.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 43c | 45.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6221…708abacked No | 52c | 43.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…dc01backed Yes | 45c | 42.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 47c | 42.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 25c | 42.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 45c | 41.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 51c | 41.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 38c | 39.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 52c | 39.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 38.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 53c | 37.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…6a5ebacked No | 56c | 36.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 36.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 48c | 35.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 44c | 33.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 46c | 32.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 46c | 31.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 36c | 30.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…aea7backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…9c56backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.