TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SPARTAof Lavked, SPARTA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183f…85e3backed Lavked46c6,512$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.5123848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lavked44c5,444$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.8584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked SPARTA56c5,340$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.3918341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked SPARTA55c4,349$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9599248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Lavked45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked SPARTA69c3,849$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.633,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed SPARTA54c3,283$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.824252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Lavked45c3,131$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA61c2,977$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.462,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed SPARTA54c2,647$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.664854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed SPARTA55c2,512$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.7814051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Lavked44c1,659$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.6560248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Lavked1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Lavked46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.981,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SPARTA64c1,353$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.74,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed SPARTA55c1,159$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.511353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA53c996.58$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.632,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked31c733.3$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed SPARTA54c716.34$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5214953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Lavked50c683.45$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4938552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lavked26c660.64$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.731,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Lavked46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed SPARTA53c625.39$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9357641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed SPARTA54c595.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.433044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked45c560$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Lavked46c532.74$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2364854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed SPARTA57c481.14$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.422958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked21c474.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.822,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked SPARTA75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10041054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked SPARTA60c378.55$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9216738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Lavked45c363$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3520643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed SPARTA54c360.58$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1120952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked Lavked73c344.72$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.284062.5%25 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lavked20c343.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6410442.3%44 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6566…1f93backed Lavked44c327.16$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe2…0d54backed SPARTA61c321.51$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.226758.2%39 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lavked46c317.83$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1159049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked SPARTA54c317.76$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3811646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed Lavked31c306.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.97436.5%27 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SPARTA64c304.88$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.484,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked SPARTA56c295$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.817142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked38c289.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.367,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Lavked36c288.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5357358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed SPARTA53c270.69$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2318850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked21c258.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.923,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Lavked45c255.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.321,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133c…b5abbacked Lavked47c245.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.779240.2%37 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e70…caccbacked Lavked22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.663545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccbc…7e80backed Lavked45c215$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.751827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f75…4d73backed Lavked53c208.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Lavked47c205.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8337050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed SPARTA49c201.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3513142.7%56 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0802…abfbbacked SPARTA76c198.72$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SPARTA55c197.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.482,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Lavked35c192.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.272,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e3…ab83backed Lavked20c191.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked Lavked46c180.47$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3120544.4%91 W · 114 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb0e…b995backed SPARTA54c163.87$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.382272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked SPARTA54c149.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5940140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Lavked32c148.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8840652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA56c146.42$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.962,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Lavked17c144.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.982,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lavked26c122.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.472,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.052,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed SPARTA51c116.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.319543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA55c110$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.813,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0335…6829backed Lavked45c108.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.345945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Lavked25c108.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9827015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed SPARTA54c107.34$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.916552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Lavked46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4632845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Lavked47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720047.5%95 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e09…3250backed Lavked73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed SPARTA42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9873948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked35c94.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.142,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed SPARTA54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.424856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed SPARTA70c88.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2739946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Lavked53c82.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9436649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked32c82.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.715,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked SPARTA78c72.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0266753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked SPARTA67c72.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed SPARTA53c67.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5238848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Lavked31c65.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.156741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Lavked47c63.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0854348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Lavked44c61.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0673658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA78c59.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.142,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked SPARTA57c58.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3319344%85 W · 108 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9451…c12fbacked Lavked35c57.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.045952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ef…4ec8backed SPARTA54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA71c53.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64d9…4bb0backed Lavked47c53.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.031225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb701…a9e1backed SPARTA76c52.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.725265.4%34 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lavked24c49.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9330031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked25c47.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.942,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Lavked42c46.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.716920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked SPARTA57c45.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6745663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked SPARTA36c38.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6211341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed SPARTA53c36.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2379951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Lavked62c35.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7739353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c18…79f4backed SPARTA56c34.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+48.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Lavked45c32.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5156454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.