MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ef6ea9b3719ef54f50a409bcfa32e02486ac466b67f782c833fa9200be9e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dd9…cd04backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 4,948$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 3,728$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.68 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 1,950$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.34 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 641.47$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 511.36$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 469$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 385.3$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 341.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 12c | 331$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 245.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 238.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 223.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 215.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kia Tigers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 197.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 33c | 160.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 130.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 123.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 121.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 110.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 108.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 108$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 106.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kia Tigers | 24c | 83.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 73.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 70.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 53.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 49.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 42.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 38.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 33.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 29.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 28.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 28.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 21.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.