Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x974756e07f9971fabf1c4e767bf46f769bd57ad9056e8ccac1f7eb194baf38fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0abf…e1b1backed No | 0c | 14,332$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…5b95backed No | 1c | 6,341$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 7c | 2,527$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 1c | 1,783$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed No | 44c | 1,409$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.92 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 6c | 799.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 75c | 729.5$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.54 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 65c | 681.67$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 53c | 650.03$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.69 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 51c | 623.42$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.32 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 11c | 615.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 39c | 577.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.36 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 34c | 546.01$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.1 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 524.81$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…6a26backed Yes | 31c | 502.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 19c | 479.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 24c | 425.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 70c | 419.11$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 70c | 361.8$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 65c | 322$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.22 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 40c | 315.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.98 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 49c | 298.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 63c | 263.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 13c | 260$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 232.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 40c | 209.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 10c | 204.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 30c | 203.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 45c | 187.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 56c | 182.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 181.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…8fabbacked No | 15c | 160.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…9724backed Yes | 50c | 158.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 69c | 152.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…c82cbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 69c | 149.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Yes | 68c | 146.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…48babacked Yes | 75c | 145.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…9163backed Yes | 16c | 133$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +536.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…c4c5backed No | 69c | 131.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 42c | 102.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…8043backed Yes | 42c | 100.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…f74bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25b…5c94backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…9039backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 37c | 99.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 45c | 99.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 68c | 99.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 31c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 30c | 94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 76.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…f08dbacked Yes | 26c | 74.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 48c | 72.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 68c | 68.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 57c | 61.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 47c | 58.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 34c | 53.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 35c | 49.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 59c | 49.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 79c | 45.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 37c | 45.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed Yes | 40c | 42.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 28c | 42.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked No | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 35.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 42c | 32.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…52f0backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…0f11backed Yes | 68c | 28.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…78c9backed No | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8c…7794backed No | 55c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 73c | 25.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…d9dbbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 70c | 24.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…e44abacked Yes | 70c | 23.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 64c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…1705backed Yes | 69c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 18.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…636fbacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 70c | 17.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…4005backed No | 66c | 15.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.