Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a79a795fdcc8e4f4feb6878fb28650d38476d3aaee66c135943668e0e14e046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8307…3351backed No | 1c | 4,894$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 72c | 2,117$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.06 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed Yes | 74c | 1,120$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.53 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 9c | 798.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.94 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed No | 78c | 793.19$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 13c | 710.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.91 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 45c | 515.67$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 38c | 500$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.07 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 27c | 472.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.59 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 405.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 47c | 364.05$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.91 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 78c | 317.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 14c | 309.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 62c | 300.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 19c | 205.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 197.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 12c | 181.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 28c | 178.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 39c | 176.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 59c | 172.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 22c | 165.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 159.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 33c | 152.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 20c | 151.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 143.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 53c | 137.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 36c | 137.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 133.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…5bfbbacked Yes | 25c | 121.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 36c | 112.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 70c | 91.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 69c | 81.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 80.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 77.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 65c | 76.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 17c | 71.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 52c | 64.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 19c | 63.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 19c | 62.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 58c | 58.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 18c | 57.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…ffebbacked Yes | 26c | 53.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 49.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 26c | 49.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…c14bbacked No | 74c | 43.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 109 | 73.4%80 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 39c | 43.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 67c | 43.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…a93bbacked Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 234 | 36.3%85 W · 149 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 36c | 39.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 39c | 38.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 36.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 32.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed Yes | 63c | 31.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 56c | 31.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…e43ebacked No | 75c | 27.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 180 | 60%108 W · 72 L | -21.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 45c | 26.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…9240backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 76c | 23.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 60c | 21.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 60c | 21.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…07f0backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…3235backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…dc4ebacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.