Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Iona Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a835c1f03fc07691174284b4ba0e3f96dbb6087c942fa5cf8ed1c2aad0d5710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Iona Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 52c | 6,465$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iona Gaels | 47c | 2,748$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.11 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 52c | 2,137$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.75 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 1,923$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Iona Gaels | 46c | 1,178$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.63 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Iona Gaels | 41c | 1,162$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.62 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Iona Gaels | 45c | 1,160$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.31 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iona Gaels | 44c | 803.11$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.97 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iona Gaels | 45c | 662.85$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 55c | 659.14$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 62c | 648$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Iona Gaels | 43c | 318.78$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Iona Gaels | 67c | 298.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iona Gaels | 40c | 260.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Iona Gaels | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Iona Gaels | 47c | 174.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 46c | 169.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 54c | 163.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iona Gaels | 61c | 127.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 53c | 126.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 54c | 125.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Iona Gaels | 44c | 101.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 64c | 93.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iona Gaels | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 44c | 72.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 36c | 60.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 35c | 59.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Iona Gaels | 46c | 53.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iona Gaels | 35c | 52.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iona Gaels | 44c | 43.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Iona Gaels | 43c | 43.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Iona Gaels | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Iona Gaels | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c25…87c0backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Iona Gaels | 43c | 23.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Iona Gaels | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Iona Gaels | 68c | 14.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Iona Gaelsthis page
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 139.5Over won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-4.5)Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.