TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Sebastian Ofner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sebastian Ofnerof Hugo Gaston, Sebastian Ofner
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,825 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Hugo Gaston38c8,831$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.322,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Ofner43c4,736$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.436,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sebastian Ofner47c4,373$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.321,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Hugo Gaston58c3,041$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76935247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f44…1c0bbacked Hugo Gaston66c2,820$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.37922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sebastian Ofner34c2,474$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.482,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sebastian Ofner35c2,227$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.5681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Sebastian Ofner37c2,200$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3867368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Sebastian Ofner49c2,093$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.541645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Hugo Gaston62c1,777$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.7830241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Hugo Gaston48c1,601$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7611,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sebastian Ofner48c1,576$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.192,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a8…6c88backed Hugo Gaston53c1,553$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.451275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Hugo Gaston46c1,325$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.8228552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Hugo Gaston38c1,032$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39520758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Hugo Gaston80c1,001$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Sebastian Ofner43c797.11$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.1620447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Hugo Gaston78c692.01$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.6613456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Sebastian Ofner70c646.34$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.984857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Sebastian Ofner41c614.39$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Sebastian Ofner46c559.56$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7222337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sebastian Ofner47c499.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9926541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hugo Gaston65c461.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Hugo Gaston33c457.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Sebastian Ofner48c415.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7547946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Ofner43c408.08$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.754,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hugo Gaston52c399.97$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sebastian Ofner45c291.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Ofner48c236.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.173,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Sebastian Ofner39c216.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5827346.5%127 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f65…4875backed Sebastian Ofner66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Sebastian Ofner22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7912835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sebastian Ofner41c196.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.132,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sebastian Ofner44c193.3$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.664,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hugo Gaston53c192$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.191,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Hugo Gaston53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008557.6%49 W · 36 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Hugo Gaston64c178$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4773745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Sebastian Ofner43c167.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.834,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Hugo Gaston60c166.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Sebastian Ofner31c161.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Hugo Gaston70c150.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.661,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Hugo Gaston54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hugo Gaston49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.53,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Hugo Gaston54c137.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3342358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sebastian Ofner41c126.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.831,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hugo Gaston53c122.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.477,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Hugo Gaston30c113$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Hugo Gaston28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Hugo Gaston63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Hugo Gaston11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Hugo Gaston54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Sebastian Ofner47c99.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hugo Gaston51c92.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.037,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Hugo Gaston55c91.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Hugo Gaston18c87.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hugo Gaston64c86.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.357252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Hugo Gaston62c84.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.972,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Hugo Gaston13c83.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1821765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Hugo Gaston58c79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8343951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Sebastian Ofner49c72.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7432837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Sebastian Ofner73c69.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1324244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sebastian Ofner40c66.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.822,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sebastian Ofner33c63.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.424,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9007…dbeebacked Sebastian Ofner41c54.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.482450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Sebastian Ofner45c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1511650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Sebastian Ofner49c51.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1318248.9%89 W · 93 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1a…9359backed Hugo Gaston55c51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0510336.9%38 W · 65 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Hugo Gaston57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.769249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Sebastian Ofner48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6790340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Hugo Gaston58c39.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1895742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Sebastian Ofner48c39.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.182,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Hugo Gaston51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8754434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Sebastian Ofner45c35.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b20…f88dbacked Sebastian Ofner40c34.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Sebastian Ofner48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.252352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Hugo Gaston62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb172…ffa1backed Sebastian Ofner42c24.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2514828.4%42 W · 106 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Hugo Gaston56c23.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8738460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Hugo Gaston53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69455.3%52 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Hugo Gaston50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109154.9%50 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Hugo Gaston55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sebastian Ofner53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.196,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254c…7678backed Sebastian Ofner70c15.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.