Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
James Madison Dukes vs. Troy Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc0598f71dcafd768cdf3188a8090ee5c20f6c102e0c99c144bf7936585d015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madison Dukesof James Madison Dukes, Troy Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked James Madison Dukes | 53c | 6,293$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked James Madison Dukes | 19c | 3,700$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Troy Trojans | 34c | 1,776$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.77 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed James Madison Dukes | 17c | 1,228$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e38abacked Troy Trojans | 27c | 938.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed James Madison Dukes | 35c | 847.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.77 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Troy Trojans | 24c | 800$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked James Madison Dukes | 20c | 651.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.37 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked James Madison Dukes | 18c | 645.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Troy Trojans | 54c | 559.18$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.19 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Troy Trojans | 49c | 499$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.51 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked James Madison Dukes | 66c | 460.15$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Troy Trojans | 42c | 457.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.97 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Troy Trojans | 28c | 402.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Troy Trojans | 57c | 382.16$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Troy Trojans | 33c | 357.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Troy Trojans | 63c | 337.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed James Madison Dukes | 65c | 309.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed James Madison Dukes | 31c | 241.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…f68fbacked Troy Trojans | 52c | 230$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 71cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked James Madison Dukes | 18c | 218$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Troy Trojans | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Troy Trojans | 52c | 201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed James Madison Dukes | 57c | 200.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Troy Trojans | 27c | 199.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed Troy Trojans | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed James Madison Dukes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked James Madison Dukes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked James Madison Dukes | 61c | 129.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Troy Trojans | 51c | 123.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Troy Trojans | 36c | 120.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed James Madison Dukes | 19c | 112$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked James Madison Dukes | 19c | 99.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed James Madison Dukes | 19c | 98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Troy Trojans | 26c | 95.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Troy Trojans | 28c | 86.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked James Madison Dukes | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked James Madison Dukes | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed James Madison Dukes | 20c | 61.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Troy Trojans | 36c | 60.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed James Madison Dukes | 52c | 49.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Troy Trojans | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked James Madison Dukes | 33c | 37.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed James Madison Dukes | 72c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Troy Trojans | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Troy Trojans | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed James Madison Dukes | 53c | 24.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Troy Trojans | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- James Madison Dukes vs. Troy Trojansthis page
- James Madison Dukes vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-9.5)James Madison Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.