Tennis · resolved market
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce38efa85db1305a500578daa77f25bad3b475535d81a160fe7db5b828adf5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roberto Carballes Baenaof Gianmarco Ferrari, Roberto Carballes Baena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 17c | 11,674$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.22 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 8c | 4,326$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…f55bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 3,749$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.23 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 11c | 3,157$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 19c | 3,114$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.98 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 12c | 2,236$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…eabdbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 1c | 1,368$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 12c | 1,161$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 18c | 681.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 19c | 635.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 5c | 606$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 4c | 535.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 506$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 21c | 499.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 17c | 497.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 15c | 418.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 77c | 397.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 22c | 387.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 12c | 371.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 4c | 354.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 3c | 335$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 20c | 320$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 10c | 319.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 199 | 26.6%53 W · 146 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 22c | 249.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 78c | 244$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…e917backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 17c | 227.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 24c | 205.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…dd7dbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 6c | 205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 18c | 202.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 19c | 156.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 8c | 149.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 23c | 101.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…7a38backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 17c | 91.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 16c | 73.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Gianmarco Ferrari | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 62.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 49.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Gianmarco Ferrari | 21c | 49.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7691backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 75c | 40.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…eff7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 75c | 28.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 80c | 28.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 17.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baenathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ferrari vs BaenaBaena won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.