MLB · resolved market
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d118bbba964ec17d6278d70e0ab7ba31594a79f52b8651bad350c97acd99539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 21c | 5,108$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.17 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 5,104$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.29 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 4,998$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.02 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 3,701$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.84 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 2,816$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.54 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kansas City Royals | 10c | 1,999$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 3,231 | 51.2%1,655 W · 1,576 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…198fbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,473$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 1,260$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.11 | 1,220 | 55.7%679 W · 541 L | +96.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 999.98$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.69 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 873.94$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.54 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 813.73$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.08 | 2,418 | 48.6%1,174 W · 1,244 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 617.27$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 584 | 51.5%301 W · 283 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 529.09$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 76c | 431.55$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 298.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 275.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 273.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 4,555 | 49.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 263.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 760 | 44.5%338 W · 422 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 185.36$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 163.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 145.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 2,550 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,382 L | -75.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 137$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 119.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 18c | 118.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 6,132 | 55.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L | +346.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 108$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 802 | 43.3%347 W · 455 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 83.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Detroit Tigers | 78c | 76.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…cd8abacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 76.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Detroit Tigers | 80c | 72.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 71.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 63.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 62.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 61.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 59.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…5d6cbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 53.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 51.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 49.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 40.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 38.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 37.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 37.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Detroit Tigers | 75c | 36.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…93c0backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 35.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 33.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.